Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Atlantic Hotter Than Before Katrina Makes Gray Boost Hurricane Forecasts

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU
 
marmar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-10 10:03 AM
Original message
Atlantic Hotter Than Before Katrina Makes Gray Boost Hurricane Forecasts
Aug. 10 (Bloomberg) -- William Gray, who pioneered seasonal hurricane forecasting at Colorado State University 26 years ago, rings a bell each Aug. 20 and tells colleagues, I have been appointed by Chicken Little to inform you that the heart of the hurricane season has begun.

This year, Gray and meteorologists at the U.S. National Hurricane Center say theres more reason for concern that the sky will fall than any time since 2005, when Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans. At least 15 more named storms with winds of 39 miles per hour or more will develop before the 2010 season ends, Colorado State researchers predict.

With two months of the hurricane season gone, the statistics of the past 15 years show now is the time when it worsens. Forecasters blame rising temperatures in the Atlantic that feed storm development, and diminishing wind shear and dust from the Sahara, obstacles to storm formation.

This is going to leave the doors wide open for activity coming off Africa to spin up into cyclones, said Jim Rouiller, a senior energy meteorologist at Planalytics Inc. in Berwyn, Pennsylvania. The storms we will be talking about in the next few weeks will be the real deal. These will be big- sized hurricanes.

The Statistics

Three storms have formed so far this season, a start that appears slow but is ahead of the statistical average. The second named storm, which doesnt normally occur until Aug. 1, came in July, and the first hurricane, statistically due on or after Aug. 10, appeared in June. If all the storms forecast by Colorado State materialize, 2010 will be tied with 1969, the fifth-busiest season on record. .........(more)

The complete piece is at: http://noir.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aM...



Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Edweird Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-10 10:57 AM
Response to Original message
1. We'll see. Nothing has been developing. This year looks like a dud so far.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Fri Sep 19th 2014, 11:09 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC