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Assessments suggest BP's worst-case estimate of 60,000 barrels has been occurring all along

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G_j Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 12:46 AM
Original message
Assessments suggest BP's worst-case estimate of 60,000 barrels has been occurring all along
Edited on Tue May-25-10 12:51 AM by G_j
http://www.tampabay.com/opinion/columns/article1097322....

The measure of a disaster

By Ian R. MacDonald, John Amos, Timothy Crone and Steve Wereley, New York Times
In Print: Tuesday, May 25, 2010

<snip>

At present, publicly known evidence for deep oil plumes consists of measured profiles of ocean color and oxygen concentration. The profiles show multiple, distinct layers 150 feet thick at depths from 3,000 to 4,000 feet. Hydrocarbon analysis that would confirm that oil caused these layers has not been released.

Taking all this into account, our preliminary estimates indicate that the discharge is at least 40,000 barrels per day and could be as much as 100,000 barrels. Certainly, our assessments suggest that BP's stated worst-case estimate of 60,000 barrels has been occurring all along. What matters most is that we take the steps to find out if it has.

Starting now, BP and the government must begin using the best possible means to measure this spill, while preserving all records of events. On the ocean floor, we recommend acoustic velocimeters, high-rate video cameras and imaging sonar. For the underwater oil, sonobuoys could detect layers of oil, and undersea gliders could follow them autonomously. On the surface, military drone aircraft could find and track patches of oil headed for shore as well as conduct surveillance over this now gigantic spill. Like the methods we have used, these are all readily available solutions.

No surgeon in an operating room would neglect an unvarnished assessment of a bleeding patient. In this disaster, an accurate measurement of the oil spill is no less important.

.......
Ian R. MacDonald is a professor of oceanography at Florida State University. John Amos is the president of SkyTruth, which uses satellite images to monitor environmental problems. Timothy Crone is a research scientist at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory. Steve Wereley is a professor of mechanical engineering at Purdue University.

2010 New York Times
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Mojorabbit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 01:28 AM
Response to Original message
1. I hope someone starts listening to him. nt
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intheflow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 01:30 AM
Response to Original message
2. Ya think?!
:eyes:

Of course they've been lying. they have to protect their profits and stockholders.
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laughingliberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 01:32 AM
Response to Original message
3. BP's been lying to us? I'm shocked! nt
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TexasObserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 01:37 AM
Response to Original message
4. I think 60,000-90,000 barrels sounds about right per day.
A barrel a second is about 86,000 barrels a day.

http://www.advfn.com/p.php?pid=staticchart&s=NY%5EBP&p=...

That link is a chart of BP's stock price decline since the blow out. They will say whatever they think will keep their stock price from collapsing, which it could do.
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leveymg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 03:52 AM
Response to Original message
5. There's another reason BP doesn't want accurate discharge measures: $1,000/bl EPA fine
Edited on Tue May-25-10 04:15 AM by leveymg
Oil Pollution Act Overview | Emergency Management | US EPA
The OPA also created the national Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund, ... 4301(a) and (c) The fine for failing to notify the appropriate Federal agency of a ... at $25000 for each day of violation or subsection (b) $1000 per barrel of oil discharged.
http://www.epa.gov/oem/content/lawsregs/opaover.htm - Cached

Add triple damages for "gross negligence or willful misconduct." http://books.google.com/books?id=-mNIqv63cN8C&pg=PA104&...

If the company was forced to pay out under 4301(b), the US Government now owns BP. I think we should collect that fine immediately, in full, and begin distributing it to the people of the Gulf adversely impacted, in real time. Place a lien on BP's assets, and begin liquidation. Now, not in a couple years.
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G_j Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 08:33 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund
"gross negligence or willful misconduct" that certainly applies
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tavalon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 04:34 AM
Response to Original message
6. In other news, water is wet
and oily.
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charlesg Donating Member (311 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 08:43 AM
Response to Original message
8. Coast Guard Admiral: "I Trust Tony Hayward."
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blindpig Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 08:54 AM
Response to Original message
9. They don't really want to know...

Or perhaps more correctly, they don't want us o know. Not right away, the target is the memory hole. But I think they are naive, there is no covering this up.

k&r
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G_j Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-25-10 12:28 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. yep nt
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