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Why is Coakley CONCEDING before 930 and before all of the urban areas are in?

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ProgressiveEconomist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:26 PM
Original message
Why is Coakley CONCEDING before 930 and before all of the urban areas are in?
are in?

I cannot fathom this.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
1. Because she's a terrible candidate.
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LLStarks Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
2. 100,000 vote deficit
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ProgressiveEconomist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:29 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. True, 100,000 would be hard to make up with the last third of a projected 2 million vote.
But why CONCEDE so early?

Have you ever heard of a candidate losing by single digits conceding so early?
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:31 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. Maybe she really didn't want the job?
I'm beginning to think so.
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jpak Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. yup
:(
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ProgressiveEconomist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:42 PM
Response to Reply #2
22. A little after 930 Coakely could anticipate tens of thousands of net votes from Boston
Edited on Tue Jan-19-10 09:43 PM by ProgressiveEconomist
and a few lesser cities, out of 351 jurisdictions:

From http://www.boston.com/news/special/politics/2010/senate/results.html :

Boston____ 207 of 254 35,748 80,105
Cambridge_ 001 of 33 139 1,067
Lowell____ 003 of 33 418 850
Worcester_ 035 of 50 9,779 12,098
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frazzled Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:28 PM
Response to Original message
3. For the same reason she ...
(a) took two ballots and tried to turn it into a conspiracy and
(b) started finger pointing before it was even over to everyone else but herself

because she knew she had blown it.
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RBInMaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
4. If she has real character, and I think she does, tomorrow she will admit she BLEW IT.
Edited on Tue Jan-19-10 09:30 PM by RBInMaine
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
5. Because she lost
It might be by 3 points rather than 6 but Brown's lead is basically insurmountable at this point.
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Xenotime Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
8. Recount!! Don't concede
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RBInMaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:31 PM
Response to Reply #8
13. Come down to earth. Recount what? A shitty campaign?
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Codeine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:33 PM
Response to Reply #8
20. You think the numbers will change that much?
We're not talking a couple thousand votes here. That's just nuts. She lost.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
9. Her people know which spots to look for. If they saw the results of those
key areas and they were bad, or not enough to make it close, they already know what the final results would be. Why prolong the agony?
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Statistical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
10. How about down 5% with only 25% vote out.
Edited on Tue Jan-19-10 09:33 PM by Statistical
She would need to be up 15-18% on the remaining votes (42-58) to pull ahead. Virtually impossible. Also there are more rural areas than urban ones left. Entirely possible that the lead will grow not shrink as the last rural areas report.
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theothersnippywshrub Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
12. Because even if she carried all of the outstanding precincts by record breaking margins
it still would not be enough to win. Sorry to be so pedantic.
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Codeine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
14. Because the numbers don't add up.
She'd have to win enormous majorities to make up the deficit. People forget conservatives live in cities too.
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WillyT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
15. Because She Has Her Own Pollsters, And They Knew It Was Over
when they saw the results coming in.

:shrug:
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Dr.Phool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
16. She's leaving to go on vacation?
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msongs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:32 PM
Response to Original message
17. she's doing a john kerry nt
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WeDidIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:32 PM
Response to Original message
18. Because hse has to win ALL OF them huger than she's won any precinct yet
to catch Brown.

It's over.

She got fucking trounced.
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BunkerHill24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:33 PM
Response to Original message
19. Coakley was a bad candidate, and should never have been running for this historic seat
...that said, let us re-group and learn from this....onward to 2010!


'Nuff said.
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demodonkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:36 PM
Response to Original message
21. No candidate, no matter how far down, should EVER concede an election til all the votes are counted.
Edited on Tue Jan-19-10 09:37 PM by demodonkey

If for no other reason, out of respect for the voters who were not counted yet.

There's no reason to concede, and every reason to make sure every vote is counted before elections are called.

Rushing to finalize elections in the first few minutes after the polls close leads to a world of trouble. Maybe not this time but it has in the past and it will in the future. MARK MY WORDS.

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Sebastian Doyle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jan-19-10 09:43 PM
Response to Original message
23. Following that fine tradition of weak candidates from MA?
Dukakis......Kerry.....Coakley........

Or maybe it's just past her bedtime?
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