Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Intrade: Coakley 46, Brown 56.

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU
 
cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:27 PM
Original message
Intrade: Coakley 46, Brown 56.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. Some peeps are going to lose money betting on Brown.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:32 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. I'm really hoping to see that happen.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. CNN is happy too! They are asking us to bend over and take it......
just like we like it.

Thanks for the news!

Now I feel much better.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Hello_Kitty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:30 PM
Response to Original message
3. Meh. Intrade had Obama beating Hillary the day before the NH primary.
They're not always right.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
dkf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:33 PM
Response to Original message
5. Buy at 45.5 and sell at 41.1? That is a huge spread.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
virgogal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:34 PM
Response to Original message
6. Baloney!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Aramchek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:34 PM
Response to Original message
7. Intrade is only as smart as the gamblers who place bets
Lots of Repigs with more Dollars than Sense playing this one.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MineralMan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:10 PM
Response to Reply #7
16. Intrade is also very susceptible to Freeper input.
It's a worthless measure. Tuesday's election is the only thing that matters. We're wasting our time with these prognostications. Instead, the GOTV effort is what will make the difference.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Aramchek Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #16
23. Exactly.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:34 PM
Response to Original message
8. I call it bullshit
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Dinger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:35 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. In Keeping With My Positive Theme
Edited on Sun Jan-17-10 07:36 PM by Dinger
I'll say that I respectfully believe it is incorrect. You are correct GrayWarrior.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:38 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. They are underestimating the dems ground force in MA
We are pissed and we're voting.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
secondwind Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:41 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. vote twice! I can't believe we could lose the most liberal Senate seat in the country


to a PINUP boy! I refuse to believe this!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:54 PM
Response to Reply #11
14. I'm starting to think his campaign has clay feet
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
peace frog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:48 PM
Response to Original message
12. So a bunch of 'pukes are betting the rent against Coakley?
SUCKERS!!!11!! I love it when wingnuts get their clocks cleaned. :rofl:

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
LostInAnomie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 07:50 PM
Response to Original message
13. Any poll that has a double digit gap for either candidate is full of shit.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Bitwit1234 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:10 PM
Response to Original message
15. Are they copying from Fox that adds up to 102
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
leftygolfer Donating Member (287 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:27 PM
Response to Original message
17. Can we open accounts or is this considered gambling?
i would take that bet (or buy shares) or whatever.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
timeforpeace Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:28 PM
Response to Original message
18. She was way ahead just 4 days ago.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
catnhatnh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:35 PM
Response to Original message
19. So I went to the intrade gateway page...
and found the chart. which STARTS at Coakley 90% and Brown 10%...Meaning that when betting began Coakley was as close to a sure thing you'll ever find on a book. Now after all the publicity Coakley has dropped below 50 percent and Brown has climbed above 50%. But the result is NOT a poll-it is a book.

And a book HAS to balance the odds to cover either outcome. That's why if they start with the Baltimore Ravens at even money on Monday then as the week goes on the Ravens slowly become 7, 10, 17, 21 point favorites-because the book DON'T CARE WHO WINS OR LOSES-it just has to balance what it can afford to lose.

The fact is I'd like to see Brown a lot higher at Intrade but the current odds tell me only that with the normal last flood of betting (informed by the bullshit media of the last week) suckers are trying for a cheap win based on spin.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
galileoreloaded Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:36 PM
Response to Original message
20. Now 60/35
Edited on Sun Jan-17-10 08:36 PM by galileoreloaded
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MineralMan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
21. Now 65/35
Absolute evidence that Freepers are bidding Brown up. Intrade is useless as a predictor of political races. Anyone can manipulate it at will.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
harkadog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #21
24. Really?
http://electoralmap.net/index2008.php Looks like they were only one vote off in 2008. What poll had a better record?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
MineralMan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:58 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. Ask me again on Wednesday morning.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
cliffordu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jan-17-10 08:43 PM
Response to Original message
22. I wouldn't trust degenerate gamblers with the
Edited on Sun Jan-17-10 08:43 PM by cliffordu
prediction.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Sun Dec 21st 2014, 01:33 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (1/22-2007 thru 12/14/2010) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC