Dead Heat in Missouri Senate Race, Robin Carnahan lead Roy Blunt 43-42

[usregimechange]

Raleigh, N.C. – When Public Policy Polling first looked at the open Senate seat in Missouri in January Robin Carnahan led Roy Blunt 45-44. Fast forward ten months and the race has hardly changed at all, with Carnahan now up 43-42...

“If Robin Carnahan had faced off against Roy Blunt in any election year between 1996 and 2008 she would likely have won given her superior popularity,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But 2010 has the potential to be an extremely good
year for Republicans, and that’s made this race highly competitive.”

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MO_1...


We can pick up a seat here guys but we need all the help we can get...

[TheWraith]

1. Kicked and recommended.

As somebody who's worked DU to fundraise for candidates I cared about, keep up the good work.

[usregimechange]

4. Will do... Thanks

[Dennis Donovan]

2. Roy's got more trouble than Robin Carnahan...

Trent Lott asked for his hair back:

[tyne]

3. LOL!

That was a good one.

[usregimechange]

5. kick

[Bobbie Jo]

6. kick

[burning rain]

7. It was disappointing to see Obama lose the state (albeit narrowly).

Is anti-black politics a strong force in Missouri? I ask because it's unusual for a winning presidential candidate not to carry Missouri, and the last time it had happened was 1956--when Adlai Stevenson carried it against Eisenhower, even though Ike had carried it in 1952 (when his national margin was smaller). Was the outcome of Brown v. Board of Education and Ike's deploying paratroopers to Little Rock, Arkansas tto enforce desegregation the difference between the two elections in Missouri?

[MadHound]

9. It's not just anti-black, though that's a problem in this state

It is also RW fundy conservative. It used to be that KC, Columbia, and St Louis had a large enough population of Dems and liberals that they could carry the state, despite the rest of the state being seriously RW whacko. But now that RW whacko element has crept into these urban and suburban areas to the point that it's thrown the electoral politics seriously to the right.

South of I-70, it is solidly fundie RW. But now the blue bastions along I-70 are getting more RW. I real shame to, it is fundamentally changing the nature of some of these places. Columbia used to be a real cool, loose, laid back college town. Now it's becoming more and more uptight. Though Obama won there in '08, Boone County went for Bush in '040 and elected a 'Pug as our district Rep.

One reason that I moved out to the country. Sure, there are RW fundies out here, but I don't have them piling in on me, and I don't have to watch my once beloved college going down the crapper on a daily basis.

[WI_DEM]

8. Good news compared to all the other polls that show senate seats we may lose

however, the thing that caught my eye was this comment: “But 2010 has the potential to be an extremely good
year for Republicans, and that’s made this race highly competitive.”