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Mari333 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-02-09 04:23 PM
Original message
Swine flu deaths ebb, but could come back strong
2 hours ago


The WHO has decided not to raise its alert to a full pandemic, since the virus has yet to cause sustained transmission outside North America. But Ryan warned against complacency.

"These viruses mutate, these viruses changes, these viruses can further reassort with other genetic material, with other viruses. So it would be imprudent at this point to take too much reassurance" from signs the virus is weaker than feared.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention also said it's too early to declare victory.

"We have seen times where things appear to be getting better and then get worse again," said Dr. Anne Schuchat, the U.S. agency's interim science and public health deputy director. "I think in Mexico we may be holding our breath for sometime."









http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gzz35...
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hedgehog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-02-09 04:26 PM
Response to Original message
1. We may have a better idea by the end of the week. The government
Edited on Sat May-02-09 04:26 PM by hedgehog
encouraged all the businesses in Mexico City to shut down for a long holiday until May 6. It seemed like a good idea at the time, but I think everyone who could left the city for the long week-end. It's a perfect example of can't win for losing!
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Buzz Clik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-02-09 04:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. "But Ryan warned against complacency." What the fuck are we supposed to do? Panic? Crap ourselves?
What a tool.
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MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-02-09 05:37 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Ever hear of just staying informed?
Why is it that so many people here have only two modes, "Ignore" and "Panic"?
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Buzz Clik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-02-09 07:01 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. I can stay incredibly informed and be totally complacent., which is exaclty where I am now.
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MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-02-09 07:05 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. I believe THIS is the definition of "complacency" that he's warning against:
com⋅pla⋅cent
   /kəmˈpleɪsənt/ Show Spelled Pronunciation Show IPA
adjective
1. pleased, esp. with oneself or one's merits, advantages, situation, etc., often without awareness of some potential danger or defect; self-satisfied: The voters are too complacent to change the government.
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Mojorabbit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-02-09 04:38 PM
Response to Original message
3. These guys have a model of spread
for a worst case scenario of this bug.
http://current.com/items/90011536_computer-simulation-o...

Bloomberg has a good article out today too
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ab1...
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