of people in DC and on the Street think that AIG needs to be kept afloat to sustain the CDS market and those institutions that bought heavily into them.
http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2008/09/aig-asks-fed-for-help.html Also, AIG was actually established in China by Hank Greenberg, who is to China what Armand Hammer was to the Soviet Union, a primary conduit for Chinese investment and influence in the U.S. See,
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x7095505 The fear is that if AIG goes down the portfolios of some banks and companies that bought CDS are going to implode. They would prefer that the Federal Gov't step in and guarantee these transactions.
The other terror is that unless the Fed keeps pumping money into AIG, the Chinese will pull up stakes in the American economy and the market for US bonds will implode.
I disagree. It makes much more sense to simply cancel both sides of the swaps contracts. Derivatives trading should be regulated and curtailed and some forms, such as naked swaps and pure unregulated third-party speculation by hedge funds, should simply be outlawed. Those institutions that are so over-leveraged and insolvent that they can't restructure their portfolios without AIG's "risk managment" products should be nationalized. As for the Chinese, their position is interlocked with ours. If we go down, they'll be swallowed up along with us, and vis-a-versa. Look at what happened yesterday to HSBC stock traded on the London and Hong Kong exchanges due to mounting losses in Household Finance's mortgage operations, which has resulted in at least $13 billion in losses. Look at what's happened to European exchanges as the American mortgage and middle-income crises spreads outwards to global money centers. We're all tied together. See,
http://www.reuters.com/legacyArticle?duid=mtfh65487_2009-03-02_08-18-46_l2128969_newsml&rpc=44&type=marketsNews HSBC is commonly referred to as the largest bank in Europe, but HSBC is actually the initials of the HongKong Shanghai Banking Corporation, and it was the largest issuer of subprime and endangered Aa mortgages, the massive sell-off of which to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (FM/FM) in recent years contributed to the downfall of those government securitized entities. We've already seen with FM/FM what happens when the US Government stepped in during the Bush era to guarantee returns on the US investments of its 2nd largest trading partner. Let the Chinese bail themselves out - they have plenty of reserves, they don't need more U.S. taxpayer money.
The bailout of AIG is more complicated than simply sustaining its insurance operations. AIG should be liquidated and its legitimate insurance operations spun-off. Further bailouts are just throwing money down a bottomless pit until it reaches China.