ALERT: NEW ORLEANS AND NORTH GULF REGION

[Aviation Pro]

The 1100 EDT (1500Z) forecast and analysis for TS Gustav is now available on the National Hurricane Center's web site.

There is little more to say about Gustav other than the track guidance and intensity forecast seem to be in full agreement. From all indications, Gustav will make landfall as a major hurricane (Cat 3-5) and the only atmospheric conditions that will abate it slightly will be a light shear and the possibility of the insertion of dry air.

Here is the 5-day track and the wind speed probabilities:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL0708W5+gif/145214W_sm.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL0708T+gif/145214P_sm.gif

[uppityperson]

1. wunderground's computer model map link also

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_model.html#a_topad

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_5day.html#a_topad

[Aviation Pro]

2. Kick for widest dissemination....

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