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He can't run on his own judgment, he can't even talk remotely substantively about policies and solutions. He doesn't really know anything. He has to do two things, scare people, and take shots at Obama so that people begin to find him so unacceptable that they would vote for anybody but Obama.
It will roll off Obama for the most part, but he's a unique candidate and this is a unique situation. Republicans finally got all the power they dreamed of and they went completely batshit with it and screwed everything up. 2006 and this year are aberrations because the winds favor Dems so much, largely because the GOP has been so disastrous. But say in 2016, after 8 years of peace and prosperity under Obama, when the Bush wounds are forgotten, you might get another Gore-Bush type race again. Or look at 1976, Nixon so fucked things up, that by the time another election came around the winds looked great for Carter and the GOP was in shambles, but by 1980, they made a comeback. The GOP will bounce back with the old tactics quick enough, they'll be formidable because they are able to frame the debate so much in their favor. Like even now, after all the idiocy and the proven failures of their policies, you still find everything framed in a RW manner. Good example was the ABC debate when Charlie Gibson, after the worst economic years since the Depression with the biggest deficit in our history, practically excoriated Hillary and Obama about keeping the capital dividends tax, which effects the richest of the rich, at a certain low level.
Don't expect that to change. What needs to happen is a viable movement for progressive policies that frames the debate around progressive successes. No more blurring the lines between Dems and Repubs, but actually viable good progressive policies. In short, we don't need an unpopular war, an unpopular GOP party, president and out of touch GOP presidential candidate to win, what we need is to have a progressive movement that mirrors the modern Movement Conservative movement in the way they have effectively set the agenda and framed the debate around their ideas, no matter how miserable they are.
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