Poll: House Dems Headed For Massive Victory This Fall

[RedEarth]

Poll: House Dems Headed For Massive Victory This Fall
By Eric Kleefeld - June 3, 2008, 3:26PM
Are House Democrats on the verge of an unprecedented second "wave election" in a row -- one that could win them up to another 45 House seats?

That's the astonishing finding of a new survey by the Democracy Corps, the Democratic polling firm run by Stan Greenberg and James Carville.

The new survey polled 1,600 people across 45 GOP-held districts, ranging from the competitive Tier 1 to harder-to-reach Tier 2 with the named incumbents and their opponents used instead of generic match-ups. The aggregate results showed the Democratic candidate winning the Tier 1 races 51%-42%, and the edging out the GOP 48%-45% in the Tier 2 match-ups, though they trailed 43%-51% in the "rural/small town" category.

During a conference call with reporters, Greenberg was bullish on the Dems' chances this Fall, predicting a second wave on top of the one from 2006: "It's certainly reasonable to think that of these 45 seats, half these seats could go to the Democrat if the trend holds."

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/06/poll_house_dems_headed_for_mas.php

[and-justice-for-all]

1. Rethugs have to GO!!!

[UrbScotty]

2. I hope so - and there better be lots of PROGRESSIVE Dems among them!

[gratuitous]

3. I think this is accurate

If you've been disappointed with election returns so far this century, 2008 looks like the year in which you could really be gratified by the payoff come Tuesday night. A LOT of Republicans have already fled Congress or announced their retirements, and the next generation of Republican officials just isn't ready for prime time. The Democrats have been working hard to force competitiveness on a lot of levels for a lot of seats, and the Republicans don't have their standard 3-1 financial edge.

So volunteer for the candidate of your choice. I practically guarantee that your hours of phone banking, door knocking, precinct canvassing or envelope stuffing in 2008 will have a salutary effect.

[ayeshahaqqiqa]

4. Everyone who doesn't like our Presidential candidate can work on

getting good Democrats elected to Congress. Let's make this report a reality!

[blondeatlast]

5. The smallest local office all the way up to POTUS matters more than ever this year.

For the children's sake, America--VOTE.

[Benhurst]

6. The Good News: House Dems Headed for a Massive Victory.

The Bad News: Nancy Impeachment's-off-the-table Pelosi will probably remain Speaker.