People looking for a bottoming-out in housing this year will be waiting quite a bit longer than that...
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/ceo-says-freddie-mac-sees/story.aspx?guid=%7B4980245A%2D5B7E%2D4EA6%2DB68B%2D8119100162E4%7DFreddie Mac sees home prices falling further
By Robert Schroeder, MarketWatch
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Already under pressure, U.S. home prices have much further to fall, the chief executive of major mortgage-buyer Freddie Mac said Wednesday.
Speaking to analysts on a conference call, CEO Richard Syron estimated that housing prices, from peak to trough, have dropped only a third as far as he thinks they're going to. The McLean, Va.-based company's expecting a peak-to-trough decline of 15% in all.
According to the purchase-only price index of the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, or OFHEO, prices are down 2.5% from the peak.
Meanwhile, according to the Case-Shiller national index, prices are down 10.2% from the peak.
On Feb. 28, Freddie Mac (FRE) reported a fourth-quarter loss of $2.5 billion, blaming the weakened U.S. housing market and credit-related expenses.The 15% figure will be in non-bubble areas. Look for declines of 30-50% in CA, FL, DC/MD/VA, PHX, possibly Boston & Seattle.