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Excellent chance Democrats will gain seats in House

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Hawaii Hiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 03:05 PM
Original message
Excellent chance Democrats will gain seats in House
"To recapture the House, the Republicans need to hold all their own seats (which will be virtually impossible) and knock off 16 sitting Democrats. That would be a tall order under any conditions, but in a year when Democrats are energized, Republicans are demoralized, and the country wants change, it will be especially difficult. What makes this very, very problematic is the money situation. Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), chairman of the DCCC had $30 million in the bank as of early January. Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK), chairman of the NRCC had $2 million (and debts of more than $2 million). Basically, Van Hollen is loaded and Cole is broke. Van Hollen has already announced about 40 priority districts he wants to pick up. He can afford to dump half a million dollars in each one and still have $10 million for emergency use. Half a million dollars is peanuts in the presidential race, but a lot of money for a House race (the median bank account for incumbents was about $400,000 a couple of months ago). Cole is trying to recruit rich businessmen who can finance their own races, but historically, such candidates generally lose when running against an experienced politician, usually a state senator or assemblyman or the mayor of a big city in the district. All in all, the Republicans have a massive problem on their hands with respect to the House. They could easily lose another 10+ seats, and the chances of their taking back control there are pretty dismal".

http://electoral-vote.com/

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Cant trust em Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 03:07 PM
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1. It's nice to get some news unrelated to the primaries
Time to focus on the big picture.
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Hawaii Hiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 03:18 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Especially if the ultimate nightmare comes true & the Republicans
win (or steal) the 2008 election....If that f-ing happens, it will be more important than ever to have control of the House & Senate...

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ayeshahaqqiqa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-25-08 03:35 PM
Response to Original message
3. What would be good
would be a rundown of the races where we have a really great chance of winning. These would, of course, have to be compiled after the primaries are over. But then DUers who live in places where the race outcome is assured could donate funds to close races to help those campaigns out. Wouldn't it be great if we picked up 20 or 30 seats? Is it possible?
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