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Edited on Mon Sep-10-07 11:01 PM by Kelly Rupert
As a global empire based on trade and power projection, we find ourselves in the same situation Britain found itself at the height of its own empire: war is bad for business. No, no, I don't mean wars like Iraq or Afghanistan (you'll note neither of those countries were participants in the global market), I mean wars between trading partners. You can't buy or sell in a city that's been bombed out.
Take China, for example. China possesses as a political goal reunification of Taiwan with the mainland. Our economy requires trade with both Taiwan and China. Any attempt by China at forcible reunification would result in demolition of the Taiwanese economy and possible damage to China's as well. In addition, Taiwan purchases military services from America, and we'd hate to lose that. Therefore, we keep enough of a naval and air presence in the region that a Chinese invasion is unfeasible, keeping the microchips and dollars flowing across the seas.
Let's move north a bit, to Korea. DPRK wishes to annex ROK. ROK wishes to avoid this. Seoul is within artillery range of the DMZ; even without bringing nukes into it, the first day of a second Korean war might well end in the total destruction of a regional business center. Japan and ROK have strong economic ties; it's unlikely that Japan would be able to remain completely neutral--something DPRK is aware of, which is why it occasionally launches test missiles capable of hitting Tokyo. The last thing the US wants to see is Tokyo and Seoul reduced to rubble. Therefore, we keep enough naval and air power in the region that we would be able to halt Korean advances while isolating and pacifying a potential landing site for a counter-campaign.
Let's move into the Middle East. We need oil. Sucks, but it's true; Washington hasn't summoned the willpower to make Detroit convert, so we're stuck with it. Will the Crazy Bastards attack us? Whatever. Doesn't really matter; in the long run, a few hundred Americans won't change much. If the Crazy Bastards manage to spark a war between Iran and the Sunni world, though, we're all totally fucked. The Great Neocon Plan To Secure The Middle East was to place a pro-Western democracy in the critical location occupied by the Iraq of Mr. Hussein. This was a absolute bloody failure. Still, we retain enough force projection that we would be able to silence any conventional war in the region.
In the meantime, we also worry about India/Pakistan, the Balkans and the Americas to a lesser extent, and the various natural-gas despots of central Asia.
Much as in Britain in the 1800s, our military does not exist to protect our citizens from physical harm. It exists to preserve trade routes.
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