Fall election predictions

[babylonsister]

Run time: 06:03 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sgbIq4q6OYA   Posted on YouTube: May 27, 2008 By YouTube Member: Views on YouTube: 0   Posted on DU: June 06, 2008 By DU Member: babylonsister Views on DU: 787

 
Whoa. From this guy's lips!

[gateley]

1. God, no kidding!

I love the final electoral vote projection. No WAY could they steal the election again with that wide a margin!

[babylonsister]

2. Pretty staggering, isn't this. Fingers crossed! nt

[1Hippiechick]

11. Sure they could....have you not watched any of the black box voting fraud debacle?

www.blackboxvoting.org

:grr:

[deadmessengers]

3. I like his optimism

But, I think he's seriously underplaying the amount of effort it would take to deliver the election. I would make a couple of comments:

1) Michigan is not an Obama lock. I wouldn't even call it leaning Obama at this point - Hillary made good and sure of that. I would also call Florida a likely McCain state, for the same reason. The state legislatures absolutely screwed us in those states, and Hillary took the bait and made DAMN sure that those 2 states were a loser for any Democrat, other than her, of course.

2) New Jersey is also not a lock - While still a "blue state", it's been trending Republican for years now, and the fact that McKeating isn't a religious nut will help him there. The only question is, will a cash-starved McCain spend money to try and win there, in the most expensive media state in the US?

3) North Dakota *will* go to McCain.

4) Don't count out Georgia. With Barr in the race, the religious right having some serious concerns about a McKeating candidacy, and the second-highest proportion of African-American voters in the country, we may see an upset there. SC too, for the same reasons, although a little less likely.

[gateley]

5. First time I've seen "McKeating" -- ROFL! nt

[deadmessengers]

6. hehe

I have another thing I've been saying: "How experienced is John McCain? John McCain was in the Senate, taking cash, and doing favors for Charles Keating back when Barack Obama was still attending Harvard Law School!"

We really need to hang the Keating thing around his neck - he's a crook, and that proves it.

[gateley]

8. I like that one, too!

I SO agree that we need to bury him with Keating.

[uberllama42]

7. Actually, all the polls I've seen in the last two weeks

have had Hillary behind McCain in Michigan as well. It will be especially difficult for Obama there if Romney fills out the GOP ticket.

I agree with the all the rest of what you say. How do they reach the conclusion that Obama will win North Dakota?

[ananda]

4. Obama can crack 300!?

Wow. I'm starting to think:

LANDSLIDE.

[OhioChick]

10. Fingers Crossed. n/t

[Phoonzang]

9. When one thinks about it...

Obama's path to 270 is fairly easy (assuming he can hold onto Michigan and Pennsylvania). Even if he doesn't manage to flip Colorado and N. Mexico, he can win by taking either Ohio, N. Carolina, or Virginia.

[Joe Bacon]

12. Don't ignore Bob Barr!

I really believe Barr can flip up to a dozen states in the south and west, I also remember that in 1980, Libertarian Ed Clark got 12 % of the vote in Alaska. I really think if Barr gets traction, the south will crack down the middle and the western states including Alaska will go to Obama. Nice to see Mc Keating get Nadered!

[featherman]

13. That's about right but I'd add MT and MO and keep my eye on movement in the

Florida polling.

[unapatriciated]

14. god I hope he is right- we so need a landslide to offset their cheating.

[jcla]

15. Yes, please!

Would love a landslide! But we have five months to go... And a bitter, nasty, racist battle ahead if what went before holds on.

[mnhtnbb]

16. Obama is coming to NC next week. NC is surely in play.