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41 new polls at Majoritywatch, Dems doing good

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Greeby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:20 PM
Original message
41 new polls at Majoritywatch, Dems doing good
http://www.mydd.com/story/2006/10/30/194846/44

* AZ-01: Renzi (R) 48%--46% Simon (D) (previous: Simon by five)
* CA-04: Doolittle (R) 49%--46% Brown (D) (previous: Doolittle by eight)
* CA-11: McNerney (D) 48%--46% Pombo (R) (no trendline)
* CO-04: Paccione (D) 48%--45% Musgrave (R) (previous: Musgrave by six)
* CO-07: Perlmutter (D) 51%--46% O'Donnell (R) (previous: tied)
* CT-02: Courtney (D) 51%--45% Simmons (R) (previous: Courtney by six)
* CT-04: Shays (R) 52%--42% Farrell (D) (previous: Shays by seven)
* CT-05: Murphy (D) 51%--43% Johnson (R) (previous: Johnson by six)
* FL-13: Jennings (D) 49%--47% Buchannan (R) (previous: Jennings by two)
* FL-22: Klein (D) 50%--48% Shaw (R) (previous: Shaw by eight)
* IA-02: Leach (R) 50%--48% Loebsack (D) (previous: Loebsack by one)
* IL-06: Duckworth (D) 48%--47% Roskam (R) (previous: Roskam by one)
* IL-08: Bean (D) 50%--45% McSweeney (R) (previous: Bean by three)
* IL-10: Seals (D) 48%--46% Kirk (R) (previous: Kirk by two)
* IN-02: Donnelly (D) 48%--45% Chocola (R) (previous: Donnelly by four)
* IN-08: Ellsworth (D) 53%--43% Hostettler (R) (previous: Ellsworth by six)
* IN-09: Hill (D) 51%--43% Sodrel (R) (previous: Hill be eleven)
* KY-03: Yarmuth (D) 52%--46% Northup (R) (previous: tied)
* KY-04: Lucas (D) 50%--46% Davis (R) (previous: Davis by three)
* MN-01: Gutknecht (R) 50%--47% Walz (D) (previous: Gutknecht by one)
* MN-06: Bachman (R) 48%--47% Wetterling (D) (previous: Wetterling by four)
* NC-08: Kissell (D) 48%--44% Hayes (R) (previous: Kissell by seven)
* NC-11: Schuler (D) 53%--44% Taylor (R) (previous: Schuler by eight)
* NH-02: Hodes (D) 50%--47% Bass (R) (no trendline)
* NJ-07: Ferguson (R) 46%--43% Stender (D) (previous: Ferguson by two)
* NV-03: Porter (R) 51%--44% Hafen (D) (previous: Porter by eight)
* NY-03: King (R) 51%--44% Mejias (D) (previous: King by two)
* NY-19: Hall (D) 49%--47% Kelley (R) (previous: Hall by eight)
* NY-20: Gillibrand (D) 53%--42% Sweeney (R) (previous: Gillibrand by thirteen)
* NY-25: Maffei (D) 53%--44% Walsh (R) (previous: Maffei by eight)
* NY-29: Massa (D) 53%--42% Kuhl (R) (previous: Massa by twelve)
* OH-01: Chabot (R) 48%--46% Cranley (D) (no trendline)
* OH-02: Schmidt (R) 51%--46% Wulsin (D) (previous: Wulsin by three)
* OH-12: Tiberi (R) 51%--46% Shamansky (D) (no trendline)
* PA-04: Hart (R) 51%--47% Altmire (D) (no trendline)
* PA-06: Murphy (D) 51%--46% Gerlach (R) (previous: Murphy by six)
* PA-08: Murphy: (D) 50%--47% Fitzpatrick (R) (previous: Fitzpatrick by eight)
* VA-02: Kellam (D) 50%--45% Drake (R) (previous: Drake by four)
* WA-05: McMorris (R) 51%--46% Goldmark (D) (no trendline)
* WA-08: Burner (D) 49%--47% Reichert (R) (previous Reichert by three)
* WI-08: Kagen (D) 51%--45% Gard (R) (previous: Kagen by two)
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:22 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yes!
We've got to get out the vote though
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EFerrari Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:23 PM
Response to Original message
2. Come on, CA 4 & 11!
:bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce: :bounce:
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Roland99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:25 PM
Response to Original message
3. Go, KY! Go!
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Beetwasher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:28 PM
Response to Original message
4. Actually, That's Pretty Friggin' Amazing
:wow:
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bobbolink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:28 PM
Response to Original message
5. CO 5 is supposed to be doing well, but vulnerable to dirty tricks...
Edited on Mon Oct-30-06 07:29 PM by bobbolink
Thanks for this post!

:hi:
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ChiciB1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:29 PM
Response to Original message
6. FL 13 Is Leaning More For Jennings Right Now... The "Chatter"
is that she's up by at least 10! Riding around this area, and I SWEAR this is true because I watch bumper stickers ALL THE TIME.... I haven't seen ONE Crist sticker and very very few Buchanan stickers.

I don't work and don't go out every single day, but I haven't seen a yard sign in my area either! I DO walk my dog every day! I don't know what it means, maybe we are working harder... but I have bumper stickers and yard signs and have seen others here too!

But, this IS Florida... you remember? We don't know how to count votes, and then there's that suppression thingie!!!

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senseandsensibility Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:30 PM
Response to Original message
7. McNerney beating Pombo!!!!!!!!
Yesssss!!!! I just spent the week-end stumping for McNerney. He's ahead! Unbelievable. And unlike Pombo, McNerney has a shoestring budget and is depending on real volunteers and true believers to get the word out. :toast: :toast: :party: :party: :bounce: :bounce:
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:31 PM
Response to Original message
8. Hmmmm
CT-04: Shays (R) 52%--42% Farrell (D) (previous: Shays by seven)



http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/writeup/connect...



That poll is an outlier...


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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:32 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. This Result Makes Me Happy...
NC-11: Schuler (D) 53%--44% Taylor (R) (previous: Schuler by eight)
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joemurphy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:32 PM
Response to Original message
9. Good news -- All 3 contested districts in Indiana going Dem!
Goodbye to Chocola, Sodrel, and Hostetter (3 Neanderthals)
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:33 PM
Response to Original message
11. The Shay's race isn't that great--he's up by ten according to this poll
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:35 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. That Poll Is An Outlier...
Most polls have a confidence level of .95.

That means one poll out of twenty is not capturing what it is supposed to be capturing...

Here's some other polls...


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/writeup/connect...

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Hamlette Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 09:54 PM
Response to Reply #13
23. I read today the dems put $1M into that race...might help n/t
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roamer65 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:34 PM
Response to Original message
12. C'mon Wulsin...
Edited on Mon Oct-30-06 07:34 PM by roamer65
I wanna see Mean Jean beaten so badly...
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BleedingHeartPatriot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:36 PM
Response to Original message
14. WooHoo! Paccione over Musgrave. That town hall debate did her in.
:bounce: MKJ
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:37 PM
Response to Original message
15. so what's the pickup count from all this?
Edited on Mon Oct-30-06 07:37 PM by 0rganism
IOW, if these results persisted through the election, how many seats would Dems be gaining?
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:47 PM
Response to Reply #15
19. I am tracking close to 60 that are in play
I think it is probably pushing it to say 45 will flip, But 35 to 40 seems about right.
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Greeby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:48 PM
Response to Reply #15
20. Based on these polls alone: 25 pickups
But these are just the races that are being regularly polled. I read earlier today that Idaho and Kansas of all places are becoming competitive
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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 09:39 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. excellent -- if we can get a fair count, it's judicial chairman Conyers for sure!
Now that's something to anticipate.

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Justice Is Comin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:42 PM
Response to Original message
16. Don't tell me some of these idiots fell in the Kool Aide well
and are switching over to that witch in Ohio. Uggg.
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Greeby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:45 PM
Response to Original message
17. Worth bearing in mind the polling was done October 24-26th
Things are moving faster than these polls can't keep up. For instance, the Schimdt/Wulsin poll probably doesn't factor in Mean Jean's latest outbreak of foot-in-mouth disease
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Perky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:45 PM
Response to Original message
18. I have some modest doubts...but this is esciting
I am tracking all the races that Cook, Rothernerg, Sabato and NYT say are in play are will flip there are some races in this list that hey have not indicated. that puts the number at 62 in play. That would be stunning. If things are movig even more towards the Dems.
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texpatriot2004 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 08:20 PM
Response to Original message
21. K & R nm
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Pacifist Patriot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 06:35 AM
Response to Original message
24. Anyone know if any polling has been done in FL-15?
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Suziq Donating Member (953 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 07:54 AM
Response to Original message
25. I am Confident . . . .
that Linda Stender will kick super do nothing Congresscritter Mike Ferguson's (New Jersey 7th) butt next week. I am seeing tons of Stender signs in my town which usually leans Repuke!

I really believe in the power of positive thinking . . . .
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BeFree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 09:33 AM
Response to Original message
26. Please
If you are in one of these districts, can you start a thread with a heading of your state in DU's Election Reform forum? And in that thread post the latest numbers and links to Board of Elections in that congressional district?


The Election Reform forum link on DU:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...
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