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NEW POLL: Sen. Allen trailing; in "big, big trouble"

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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:37 PM
Original message
NEW POLL: Sen. Allen trailing; in "big, big trouble"
Edited on Mon Oct-30-06 08:13 PM by Bluebear
Rasmussen Reports just released a Virginia Senate poll showing George Allen trailing by 5 points (with leaners). This comes on the heels of a poll they did just last Tuesday which showed Allen up 2 points (with leaners). That's a seven-point move in less than a week. Without leaners it is only three point move, but with election day a week away, leaners very much count.

From our updated Virginia analysis:

If the direction of this poll, not necessarily the magnitude of the move, but the direction is confirmed by other major polling -- George Allen is in big, big trouble. This race had already crept up to #7 on RCP's most vulnerable Senate seats and Allen had real risks heading into election day just by his inability to shake off Webb when he was leading in the RCP Average. Now with Webb moving out to a lead in the latest RCP Average, the Allen campaign better hope this poll is a weekend outlier.

The only big news event in this race was the Allen campaign's dump of sexually provocative passages from Jim Webb's many novels. The conventional wisdom had been that this would hurt Webb in Virginia. Was the conventional wisdom very wrong? Did Allen see his numbers deteriorating and decide he needed to dump the Webb stuff? Or is this is just one poll taken on the weekend that will turn out to be an outlier? We'll find out soon enough.

Allen has now moved up to #5 on RCP's list of most vulnerable incumbents.

http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2006/10/george...
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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:38 PM
Response to Original message
1. May that trend continue!
:bounce: :bounce: :toast:
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demdiva Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:43 PM
Response to Original message
2. GOOD NEWS
:kick: & rec
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eleny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
3. Get Out!!!
Great news!
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C_U_L8R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 08:07 PM
Response to Original message
4. That giant flushing sound
is getting louder and louder
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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 10:41 PM
Response to Original message
5. .
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Beelzebud Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 10:42 PM
Response to Original message
6. Looks like someone stepped in deep macaca.
:D

Sorry I couldn't resist that cheesy line. :D
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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 10:47 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. AND Rasmussen usually leans right!
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Lex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 10:52 PM
Response to Original message
8. w00t


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Bluebear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 11:43 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. w00t kick!
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ruggerson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 11:46 PM
Response to Original message
10. Right on!
and just posted that there are now THREE new polls showing Webb ahead.
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AlCzervik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-30-06 11:48 PM
Response to Original message
11. momentum shift---yes!
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speedoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 12:06 AM
Response to Original message
12. CONFIRMED by new CNN and Gallup polls!
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


Buh-bye Senator Macaca!!


Now about the Senate... I believe we need six to take over. RI, Montana, Ohio, PA are four. Virginia would be five. If we win either Missouri or Tennessee, AND hold on in NJ, we have it.

Oh... what about Maryland.... we will win that one. Is that a hold or a takeaway?

Would be nice to get seven so we can tell LIEberman to fuck off, should he beat Ned.

Yeah, baybee!!!


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autorank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 12:38 AM
Response to Original message
13. Fan TAS tick!!! K&R
Oh please, my prayers are almost answered.

Rasmussen is a class act but tilts Republican so if he says five points, it is at least that.

Thank you!!!
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usregimechange Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 12:41 AM
Response to Original message
14. Wow!
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FyurFly Donating Member (512 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 12:57 AM
Response to Original message
15. Proud Virginian here!!!! n/t
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shanti Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 12:59 AM
Response to Original message
16. excellent!!
;)
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Clarkie1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 01:17 AM
Response to Original message
17. The book passages smear backfired. Probably, Allen's smear won Webb the election. nt
Edited on Tue Oct-31-06 01:17 AM by Clarkie1
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 03:13 AM
Response to Reply #17
19. that would be a HOOT
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LaPera Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-31-06 02:14 AM
Response to Original message
18. Time for even bigger republican slime & shit...Watch!
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