NEW POLL: Sen. Allen trailing; in "big, big trouble"

[Bluebear]

Rasmussen Reports just released a Virginia Senate poll showing George Allen trailing by 5 points (with leaners). This comes on the heels of a poll they did just last Tuesday which showed Allen up 2 points (with leaners). That's a seven-point move in less than a week. Without leaners it is only three point move, but with election day a week away, leaners very much count.

From our updated Virginia analysis:

If the direction of this poll, not necessarily the magnitude of the move, but the direction is confirmed by other major polling -- George Allen is in big, big trouble. This race had already crept up to #7 on RCP's most vulnerable Senate seats and Allen had real risks heading into election day just by his inability to shake off Webb when he was leading in the RCP Average. Now with Webb moving out to a lead in the latest RCP Average, the Allen campaign better hope this poll is a weekend outlier.

The only big news event in this race was the Allen campaign's dump of sexually provocative passages from Jim Webb's many novels. The conventional wisdom had been that this would hurt Webb in Virginia. Was the conventional wisdom very wrong? Did Allen see his numbers deteriorating and decide he needed to dump the Webb stuff? Or is this is just one poll taken on the weekend that will turn out to be an outlier? We'll find out soon enough.

Allen has now moved up to #5 on RCP's list of most vulnerable incumbents.

http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2006/10/george...

[babylonsister]

1. May that trend continue!

[demdiva]

2. GOOD NEWS

& rec

[eleny]

3. Get Out!!!

Great news!

[C_U_L8R]

4. That giant flushing sound

is getting louder and louder

[Bluebear]

5. .

[Beelzebud]

6. Looks like someone stepped in deep macaca.

Sorry I couldn't resist that cheesy line.

[Bluebear]

7. AND Rasmussen usually leans right!

[Lex]

8. w00t

[Bluebear]

9. w00t kick!

[ruggerson]

10. Right on!

and just posted that there are now THREE new polls showing Webb ahead.

[AlCzervik]

11. momentum shift---yes!

[speedoo]

12. CONFIRMED by new CNN and Gallup polls!

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...


Buh-bye Senator Macaca!!


Now about the Senate... I believe we need six to take over. RI, Montana, Ohio, PA are four. Virginia would be five. If we win either Missouri or Tennessee, AND hold on in NJ, we have it.

Oh... what about Maryland.... we will win that one. Is that a hold or a takeaway?

Would be nice to get seven so we can tell LIEberman to fuck off, should he beat Ned.

Yeah, baybee!!!

[autorank]

13. Fan TAS tick!!! K&R

Oh please, my prayers are almost answered.

Rasmussen is a class act but tilts Republican so if he says five points, it is at least that.

Thank you!!!

[usregimechange]

14. Wow!

[FyurFly]

15. Proud Virginian here!!!! n/t

[shanti]

16. excellent!!

[Clarkie1]

17. The book passages smear backfired. Probably, Allen's smear won Webb the election. nt

[rodeodance]

19. that would be a HOOT

[LaPera]

18. Time for even bigger republican slime & shit...Watch!