Some stuff I've heard about some races from "insider" types

[Sammy Pepys]

Nothing groundbreaking, but here's what I'm hearing from a conglomeration of people either working the campaigns or doing independent polling work:

1) Allen wins in Virginia by about 3 points.
2) Burns probably loses, but it will be tight.
3) Chafee is gone.
4) Corker wins Tennessee.
5) Menendez should've had NJ locked up by now...things look to be trending Keane. Dems need strong turnout here.

[cali]

1. Insider types?

And just who might these insiders be? I don't mean their names, I mean what positions do they hold that give them all this inside knowledge? Beyond that, I think posts like this are rather pathetic, and serve no positive purpose. The election is still 9 days away. A lot could happen.

[Sammy Pepys]

11. Fair enough...

Three are working campaigns...two of them being a position seperated from the manager.

Two are polling analysts...one at an independent company, the other a "not so independt" company...if you get my drift.

Also, three members of Congressional staff.

[swag]

2. Win or lose, Conrad Burns might find himself on a jail cot before much longer.

At least that's the prediction of Oklahoma Republican Senator Tom Coburn.

[Skidmore]

3. Freaking "insiders" are a real part of the problem.

IMHO.

[Cessna Invesco Palin]

6. Indeed.

We certainly wouldn't want anyone with actual experience running a campaign. Not every insider is an Al Shrum or a Donna Brazille.

[greeneyedboy]

4. it's all about turnout. GOTV!

[Perky]

5. Groundbreaking? thuis is notthing

Allen will lose VA by aboiut three points.

[BootinUp]

7. You talk to pessimists evidently.

The only one of those I think we are going to lose is TN. But even that could go our way with some luck. Webb is going to take Allen, I have a good feeling there. Burns is done. Menendez will win.

[Joe for Clark]

8. Cali makes good sense.

I am telling you - for a fact - There is no way any pollster out there can anticipate who is really going to vote on Nov 7th and who is not.

And I know one thing equally true in our history as a country - angry americans vote. It is really true. And this is about as bad as I have ever personally seen it.

For myself, I am damn sure - (and there are no numerical studies even possible) - any democrat within the margin of error has a probability to win - and that is based on our history as a country. As long as we vote.

We will.

Joe

[Carrion]

9. Jeez

My dead grandmother could have come up with those picks..........

[saracat]

10. Those "insiders" sound "leaning Repug" and their info is old.

Menendez is up in NJ and Webb leads in Va.I agree about Burns and Chaffee but Corker is NOT getting Tenn in a walk if at all.

[Sammy Pepys]

12. Most certainly not Republicans....

...that Iassure you. They're not pessimistic, just cautious. They are actually very optimistic about Jersey....they're just not resting on their laurels there.

[saracat]

13. I agree with that! no one should be resting on their laurels anywhere

[in_cog_ni_to]

14. RI man on C-SPAN this morning said Whitehouse STILL has a lead over Chaffey

and it looks like that's the way it will stay. He made it sound like Whitehouse had all but won. Last I heard, Burns still trailed Tester too. Has that changed? The Corker/Ford race if very iffy. Corker has a slight lead.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. Sounds Like Conventional Wisdom

But Allen and Corker are not locks...

If this was Vegas they would problably be 2-1 favorites...