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Lamont gaining ground (Lieberman up by 8)

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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:02 PM
Original message
Lamont gaining ground (Lieberman up by 8)
http://mydd.com /

It looks like Schlesinger is taking votes from Lieberman, and that the Q-Poll was an outlier. Lamont has a massive GOTV operation, much larger than Lieberman's. I wouldn't be surprised if Lieberman's operation replicated his corrupt primary approach, which involved putting lots of untraceable cash on the streets.

This poll feels right, and it's more in line with internal polls across the state that I've heard about. Lamont has sat in the low forties since August, and Lieberman has lost a few points to Alan's charismatic performances, which also makes sense. Still, if this is the score going into election day, it's hard to see how Lamont makes up 8 points. Looking at it optimistically, there is ballot positioning, which could take a few points from Lieberman, and there's field, which could add a few to Lamont. And then there's the fact that a certain percentage of hard-core Republicans may just balk at voting for Lieberman, period, even though they'll tell a pollster otherwise. 8 is a lot to make up.

Of course, it's not election day, and the trend is in the right direction. The war keeps growing as an issue, and while it's not adding to Lamont's support, it is damaging Joe.

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Greeby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:05 PM
Response to Original message
1. Hopefully this final debate on Thursday, where Joe won't show up
Will seal the deal as he lives up t the Sore Loserman name :D
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stepnw1f Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:08 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. That's Right... He Won't Be There
Geeeee... I wonder why?
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Clark2008 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:18 PM
Response to Reply #3
11. Why won't he be there?
Sorry, us Tennesseans have our own fight on our hands and I haven't kept up with Connecticut.
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stepnw1f Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:32 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. He Said He Won't...
don't know his own reasons for not showing up, but from what I've been reading about the last debates, Lieberman is losing. This is why Lamont is catching up probably.... lieberman is making a big mistake by not showing up... watch him change his mind.
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survivor999 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
12. Are they gonna show it on CSPAN?
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Olney Blue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:08 PM
Response to Original message
2. I hope Ned wins!
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Rose Siding Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:09 PM
Response to Original message
4. Lamont's ground op should buy him a couple of pts, too
I almost WISH a Clinton would show up for Joe -that would drive off some of the spiteful repubs.
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me b zola Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:15 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. There is a lot of strange psychology involved in the mess in CT
On the flip side of your almost hope, a Clinton showing up in support of Joe might cause some Dems who would vote for Lamont to vote for LIEberman. Strange days, indeed!
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me b zola Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:12 PM
Response to Original message
5. If Lamont can pull within the margin of error before the election...
...he has a good shot. I'm one of many people who believe that not all of those publicans who say that they will vote for LIEberman actually will when it comes time to cast their ballot.

Go Ned, Go!!!
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:13 PM
Response to Original message
6. I have yet to see a poll closer than that
This new poll either represents momentum for Lamont, or his ceiling. Every time I have seen a poll with Lamont closing in to a high single digit deficit, another poll comes out a few days later showing Lieberman back up by double digits again.
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Justice Is Comin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:16 PM
Response to Original message
8. The kiss float shadowing him everywhere is urgently needed again.
That's what sunk him before.
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Clark2008 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
9. Isn't this what he did last time?
Creep up by leaps and bounds in the waning weeks before the election?
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BrklynLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:17 PM
Response to Original message
10. I cannot believe that Lieberman is actually ahead in CT!!!
How is that possible?
He is not a Democrat!! How could any Dem or Independent with half brain or any conscience vote for him??!! He could not win with Repuke votes only, could he?

He is a Bush-asskissing, lying, war-monger.
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WindRavenX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 01:34 PM
Response to Reply #10
14. unfortunately, Incumbents often get the benefit of just *being* on the ballot
Edited on Sun Oct-29-06 01:34 PM by WindRavenX
Average Joe hasn't heard of Ned Lamont, so he's going to go with the name he recognizes-- Lieberman.

(I still think Ned is going to win, though)
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populistdriven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 02:11 PM
Response to Reply #10
15. GOTV! It is easy and all it takes is an hour - I just finished 2hrs - give it a try!
Edited on Sun Oct-29-06 02:12 PM by bushmeat
It is easy and all it takes is an hour - I just finished 2hrs - give it a try!


GOTV! http://pol.moveon.org/phone/volunteer/c4c.html
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gully Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 09:03 PM
Response to Reply #10
16. Because he's getting Republican votes.
.
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NewJeffCT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 09:20 PM
Response to Reply #10
17. people are used to voting for Lieby
the media has been generally pro Lieby since the primary, and he hit the ground running after the primary.
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wholetruth00 Donating Member (576 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 10:19 PM
Response to Original message
18. This is the "November surprise" I am hoping for most.
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Mr_Spock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 10:22 PM
Response to Original message
19. I so hope that RW ass kisser LIEberman doesn't win
I can't believe he has as much support as he has now - makes me ill :puke:
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sandyd921 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 10:31 PM
Response to Original message
20. Sounds like an impossible balancing act
for Liarman. He has to appeal to a sufficient number of Democrats and also to a good portion of the repukes. Hopefully it will be difficult enough for Liarman that Lamont is able to squeak though. Hope so!
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The Gunslinger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 11:22 PM
Response to Original message
21. Too bad theres too many Dems that will still vote for him
thats why he will win.
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oasis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-29-06 11:50 PM
Response to Original message
22. k&r
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