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HOLY SHIT, CHECK THIS OUT, Seat-By-Seat Poll, GOP MASSACRE

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Grebrook Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 04:45 PM
Original message
HOLY SHIT, CHECK THIS OUT, Seat-By-Seat Poll, GOP MASSACRE
Edited on Thu Oct-12-06 04:57 PM by Grebrook
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/RT-CD_Oct12.pd...

Summary: Democrats lead in 23 house seats, are tied or marginal in about 6 more, including Peter King's district, the firebrand Republican

That's an easy 15 seats, and it doesn't include polls of seats we know we will automatically win:

Tx - 22
Arizona - 8

It also doesn't include another full 2 dozen close house races. Everyone needs to get out and vote and translate this massacre off ink and paper and into real time.

EVERY SINGLE OHIO SEAT POLLED SO FAR has shown the Democrats winning. I'm telling you that Ohio is going to give the Dems at the very least, 3 seats, and if we're lucky, as many as 7.

Mean Jean is losing
Bob Ney's open seat is heading strongly towards the Dems
Deborah Pryce is losing
OH-1 Chabot is losing as well

That's four seats that have been polled. How hillarious would it be if we destroyed John Boehner himself on election day? Threw out Boehner, the Majority Leader? The OHIO GOP is about to get decapitated.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 04:48 PM
Response to Original message
1. it's good, but many of those leads are very close and the GOP
ground game in the end has been very effective. We need to really make sure dems vote and hopefully the gop will be demoralized and not vote.
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americanstranger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:12 PM
Response to Reply #1
24. One variable - GOTV money.
I read somewhere today that the GOP is going to sink a million bucks into trying to hold on to Foley's seat.

If so many races are looking so bad for them, they're going to have to pour more resources into just trying to pull even in the polls.

And don't forget, there ain't no Abramoff money coming in this time.

Let's hope that the GOP goes into panic mode and starts spending on media buys. That'll be money that won't be around for GOTV.

I'm trying to keep all these predictions of a Dem landslide in perspective, but it sure would be nice to take back both houses and be able to screw with Bush's head for two years. :)

- as
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RufusEarl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 04:51 PM
Response to Original message
2. Did you notice Mark Foley at 43%?
The date of the poll 10-12-06, some people in that district just aren't paying attention.
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zonkers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:44 PM
Response to Reply #2
11. Florida is lost to psycho materialistic greedmeisters.
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Mr_Spock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:07 PM
Response to Reply #2
23. lol - Floridians are out to lunch!
WTF is wrong with those people?
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porphyrian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #23
27. Hey! It's not all of us, for fuck's sake.
Get your ass down here on the front and you can start calling names.
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Mr_Spock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:17 PM
Response to Reply #27
29. lmao - someone always has to take it all personal like
Edited on Thu Oct-12-06 07:23 PM by Mr_Spock
It may be due to the fact that they cannot replace him on the ballot and the substitute Republican has to be elected by a "Mark Foley" vote.
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porphyrian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:20 PM
Response to Reply #29
30. Everything's personal. Mind your fucking feet. - n/t
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Mr_Spock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:28 PM
Response to Reply #30
33. Guess you didn't bother to read my post
As I expected! lol
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Mr_Spock Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:29 PM
Response to Reply #30
34. Mind your own fucking feet!
:P
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happydreams Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-13-06 04:31 PM
Response to Reply #23
37. You can say that again. I've never met one that wasn't
whacko. ((NOT A SINGLE ONE!))
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Hav Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 04:53 PM
Response to Original message
3. .
Yes, generally good but close.

Also the race Laesch-Hastert could be interesting: 42-52. Considering that Laesch has almost no money, I think that's not too bad. A loss for Hastert would be just great.
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nevergiveup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:23 PM
Response to Reply #3
10. Hastert is accustomed to
an approval rating around 70%. This will cause panic among the Repubs in this district.
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Ian David Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 04:55 PM
Response to Original message
4. Once we have the power of subpoena, there will be so many vacant seats...
that Congress won't be able to achieve a quorum without allowing Republickers to vote by telephone from prison.

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enid602 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 04:57 PM
Response to Original message
5. Dem massacre
From what you go on to say, it would more likely seem a Dem massacre.
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Grebrook Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 04:58 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. What?
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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:05 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. pzzzcheeeez?
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. How so?
You've really gone into orbit. Don't start deluding yourself, because it will only make it harder to swallow that bitter pill on November 8th.
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enid602 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 06:51 PM
Response to Reply #9
20. massacre
When you say 'GOP massacre' or 'German massacre' or 'Russian massacre,' aren't the GOP, Germans or Russians the ones doing the massacre-ing? That's why I thought Dem massacre was more appropriate.
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KingFlorez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 06:55 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. I get it now
I apologize for the other post, I didn't understand what you meant.
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Wednesdays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #20
26. So, what am I supposed to think
Edited on Thu Oct-12-06 07:16 PM by Wednesdays
when I hear the phrase "Boston Massacre"? Or, better yet, "St. Valentine's Day Massacre"?
:shrug:
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stepnw1f Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:46 PM
Response to Reply #5
13. It's Gonna Suck for Some When the Dems Win
:evilgrin:
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greeneyedboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:17 PM
Response to Original message
8. the poll that counts hasn't happened yet. keep up the GOTV 'til then.
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cassiepriam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:45 PM
Response to Original message
12. Yes but will the elections be honest? nt
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struggle4progress Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
14. Slow down: I ain't heard the diva sing yet
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annabanana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
15. King's seat is tougher than it should be.
Former NYC Mayor (and nominal Dem) Ed Koch is running ads supporting King, partly because of his recent "homeland security" credentials.. (Not that he managed to get commensurate anti-terror $$ away from midwest petting zoos)

The Israel lobby is a factor.

He is debating his competition (Dave Mejias, http://www.daveforamerica.com/index.php ) on Oct. 17th. I'll try to get the debate up on YouTube.
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stepnw1f Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:49 PM
Response to Original message
16. Wow.... Let's Get to Work!
Let's run the red coats out of office!!!!
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DemoTex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 05:53 PM
Response to Original message
17. NC-11: Shuler (D) leads corrupt Chas. Taylor (R-Hell) by 8%!
Dig it!

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leftchick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-13-06 04:36 PM
Response to Reply #17
38. I just researched Shuler
after reading about him in Rollingstone and am not too happy. He is anti-choice and "wants to stay in Iraq until the job is done". How is that different from a repuke? Can't the Dems recruit better than that? I know from the article he was hounded by Emmanuel to run. What a disappointment

:(
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Harper_is_Bush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 06:43 PM
Response to Original message
18. Can you explain to me please....
that is the House as opposed to the Senage, correct?
And I understand the significance of the red vs. blue colors, but why are some not colored (grey)? Are those seats not up this election?

Excuse my ignorance please, I'm Canadian. :)
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Harper_is_Bush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 06:48 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. Nevermind! I figured out why some are grey....no poll since August. n/t
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w4rma Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 06:53 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. Yes, House. Colored is an October poll. Grey was an August poll.
Every House seat is up for election every two years.

Senate seats are up for election every 6 years, which means that every two years about 1/3 of the Senate seats are up for election.
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SeveneightyWhoa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
25. Another one?
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

Both low-posting individuals.. hmm..

"Yeah guys, you might as well give up now, it's gonna be a LANDSLIDE! A massacre!"
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SaveAmerica Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:15 PM
Response to Original message
28. Is this for real?? If you knew how hard we've been working on NC-08
I almost didn't want to look and now that I've seen Hayes at 44 and Kissell at 51 I still don't want to get my hopes up but I'm sitting with massive goose bumps since I read that!! HOLY !#%$^!!! If you want to see grassroots it's alive and it's real right here in the 8th district of North Carolina, take a look at our web page that I have in our sig. I feel sick with anxiety, I hope I make it until November 7!!

I just read what I wrote MAJOR RUN-ON SENTANCE but I don't care YEAAAAAAARGH!!!
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Initech Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:22 PM
Response to Original message
31. "The OHIO GOP is about to get decapitated"
Let's hope so! It would make for great revenge after the Ohio election fiasco in '04! :evilgrin:
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we can do it Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 07:22 PM
Response to Original message
32. I Hope You Are Right - There Are Still A Lot of Blackwell & DeWhine Signs
Hopefully, people are waking up. - We still have to keep after it though.
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Freedom_from_Chains Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 08:09 PM
Response to Original message
35. Man, Diebold workers could be working long hours this election.
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hsher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-12-06 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
36. Go Madrid!
:applause:
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Blackhatjack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-13-06 04:41 PM
Response to Original message
39. Maybe Ohio Repubs Should Get Gov Taft To Campaign With Them ...LOL
... think how good each candidate would look beside Taft!

The corruption in Ohio is so out of control that the people know they have to get rid of these guys, even if it means turning everything over to the DEMS.
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many a good man Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-13-06 05:00 PM
Response to Original message
40. They done themselves in
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Xenotime Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-13-06 05:06 PM
Response to Original message
41. I'm ready for it. I see the GOP as a little wimpering child...
sitting in the corner of the house. Maybe now we will be able to put their plans for destroying this country to rest and let the healing begin.
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