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Reciprocity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 02:48 PM
Original message
How are we doing on getting those 15 seats...
in the house?
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INdemo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
1. 3 in Indiana
Maybe 4......
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NOLADEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
2. Sounds like we might have locked up Foley's and Reynold's Seats
Anyone hear anything about this?

;-)
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Reciprocity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 02:59 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. I know Kerry was helping out this weekend...
the dem. (sorry can't remember his name) who is running against him. They will have to keep Foley' name on the ballot with votes going to whoever is their sub.
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keta11 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 02:53 PM
Response to Original message
3. I would not be a happy camper
if I found out on 11/8 morning we didn't gain at least 25 seats. Hoping the sheep wake up and vote Dem.

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rockymountaindem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
4. We're making a fight for it in central Colorado
Edited on Sun Oct-01-06 03:04 PM by rockymountaindem
See my thread on the situation here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

On edit: I think the 7th district in NE Denver is a definate pick-up for our side.
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PCIntern Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 02:57 PM
Response to Original message
5. Montgomery Cty, PA Republican is probably history
Gerlach's gonna lose...Narberth just went Dem after literally 230 years of Republican rule. It was funny as hell to see these guys literally wandering around with nothing to do.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 02:59 PM
Response to Original message
6. 3 in IN, maybe 2 in CT, 2 in NY, 2 in PA, 1 in WI, 1 in TX, 2 in OH, 1 in
VA(Thelma Drake), 1 in NC, 1 in IA, 1 in AZ, 1 in CO, 1 in NM, etc...

Very good, I would say.
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KharmaTrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 03:02 PM
Response to Original message
8. So Far So Good...But GOTV Is Where The Rubber Hits The Road
Kos and MyDD feel that now Foley's district is all but assured to the Democrats, as is DeLay's district and Jim Colbe's in Arizona. That's 3 down and 12 to go.

I'm holding my breath here and gonna wait for another two weeks before I start thinking there's enough seats here to say it's a certainty. I'm still very considered about what I call the "Busbee factor"...that Democrats worked to hard to get to independents and moderate repugnicans that they forgot to get the "old line" Democrats to the polls.

The other unknown is the Repugnican turn-out. I get conflicting signals. Some days...like when Chimpy goes out and lies about 9/11=Iraq...I wonder if those church busses will be filled on election day or if there's not the same fire and brimstone than there was in recent elections. Now with the Foley mess and the problem I'm seeing with women being alienated by the GOOP in droves, they might have dug themselves into a hole deeper than Rove and company can steal themselves out of.

I'm feeling good about a lot of the campaigns I'm seeing and how a new generation of Democrats are coming forward to energize the party. Here's three election night states to watch...Connecticut, Indiana and Florida. If you hear Democrats have made gains in those states, turn off the TV, draw a big, cool one and start celebrating.

Cheers...
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PCIntern Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 03:04 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. You can not turn off the TV
remember 2000? Can't assume anything where these thieves are concerned...
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KharmaTrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 03:13 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. If You Want A Good Night's Sleep...
...I stayed up through the night and beyond in 2000 and 2004...and then couldn't sleep soldidly for the next 6 months after that...the results upset me so bad. This time I figger if the Democrats show early gains, I'm quitting while I'm ahead. If things go in the other directions, then I'll deal with it in the morning.

Cheers...
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alfredo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #9
14. If there are reports of chaos at the polls, then you know
Rove is at work.
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longship Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 03:28 PM
Response to Original message
11. By my count, we have the House as of now.
Edited on Sun Oct-01-06 03:31 PM by longship
Election Predictions lists the following take-over seats:

AZ-8 D-Gabrielle Giffords v. R-Randy Graf (Jim Kolbe)
CO-7 D-Ed Perlmutter v. R-Rick O'Donnell (Bob Beauprez)
CT-2 D-Joseph Courtney v. R-Rob Simmons (inc)
FL-16 D-Timothy Mahoney v. R-Mark Foley (inc)
IA-1 D-Bruce Braley v. R-Mike Whalen (Jim Nussle)
IN-2 D-Joseph Donnelly v. R-Chris Chocola (inc)
IN-8 D-Brad Ellsworth v. R-John Hostettler (inc)
IN-9 D-Baron Hill v. R-Mike Sodrel (inc)
KY-4 D-Ken Lucas v. R-Geoff Davis (inc)
NC-11 D-Heath Shuler v. R-Charles Taylor (inc)
NY-24 D-Michael Acuri v. R-Raymond Meier (Sherry Boehlert)
OH-18 D-Zach Space v. R-Joy Padgett (Robert Ney)
PA-6 D-Lois Murphy v. R-Jim Gerlach (inc)
VA-2 D-Phil Kellam v. R-Thelma Drake (inc)
VT-AL D-Peter Welch v. R-Martha Rainville (Bernie Sanders)
TX-22 D-Nick Lampson v. R-Tom DeLay (inc)

Of course, one is Sanders' seat. But this puts the House at D-219 to R-216.
Many races are very tight and many Dems are polling ahead of the Repuke opponents, so we should expect that the list will grow before November, especially with this Foley business.

Not a single Dem held seat is in serious jeopardy at this time. What's even better is that we have all the momentum. Watch things to start really jumping our way in the last month as the majority of undecideds break our way. This could be a huge turnover of power.

BTW, another poster is correct, GOTV is the way to victory.

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Reciprocity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 03:44 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Thanks y'all!
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BrotherBuzz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-01-06 03:47 PM
Response to Original message
13. The Doolittle/Charlie Brown race in California (CA4) is one to watch
Charlie Brown didn't have a pray a few months ago, but he's been able to close the gap to a statistical dead heat (39-41 with a 4% error) by driving home the Doolittle/DeLay/Abramoff connection.

    Benenson Strategy Group, a firm that also works with the DCCC, conducted the poll at the end of August. It shows Doolittle leading Brown by just 41 percent to 39 percent with 17 percent saying they didnt know who they would vote for if the election were held today. The poll had a 4.9 percent margin of error.


Between Abramoff being in the news cycles and Georgie visiting Doolittle for a fundraiser at, gasp, a gated Country Club on Tues, I expect the margin will close and it could be a squeaker by November if Brown stays on message:

Doolittle supports Sex Slavery, Forced Abortions, and Sweatshops!!!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zimFRGTscIo
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