Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

ATimes--"Misunderestimating" Bush's Iraq (fear of Hezbollah model)

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (01/01/06 through 01/22/2007) Donate to DU
 
Gloria Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-20-06 04:17 PM
Original message
ATimes--"Misunderestimating" Bush's Iraq (fear of Hezbollah model)

More in the new World Media Watch up now at http://www.zianet.com/insightanalytical


1//Asia Times Online, Hong Kong Aug 19, 2006

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HH19Ak01.html



MISUNDERESTIMATING BUSHS IRAQ

By Sami Moubayed
(Sami Moubayed is a Syrian political analyst.)





(SNIP)



Amid all these problems, there is the danger of the "Hezbollah model" being adopted in Iraq. Muqtada, who has been a nightmare for the Americans since they invaded, has all the credentials to create such an organization in Iraq, modeling himself after Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.

Muqtada is young. He is well connected in the religious establishment, he hails from a prominent Shi'ite family and he has a large following among Iraqis. Like Nasrallah, he is opposed to both the US and Israel. Like Nasrallah, he is an Arab nationalist at heart who does not want to see Iraq divided. The only difference is that Muqtada wants to establish a theocracy in Iraq.

He lacks Nasrallah's charisma, however, and the flow of money and arms from Iran. If he pulls the right strings, though, and makes wise alliances, he could receive strong support from the mullahs of Tehran - something that the Americans wish to avoid at any cost.

If it happens, and Muqtada decides to end all restraint, he could immediately bring down the Maliki cabinet. Or he could withdraw his ministers from the government and replace them with non-entities, and transform the cabinet into a political dwarf unable to make any real decisions. In this event, what would govern the state of affairs under Muqtada would be the power of the sword on the Iraqi street.

SNIP

The Americans want to control his rapidly rising popularity. They see the bitter reality that now they have to deal with Lebanon's Hezbollah. They truly wish that it was not there, but have not been able to defeat it or destroy it, neither with United Nations resolutions, nor through domestic Lebanese dialogue, nor through the military might of the Israeli army.

And with Iraq in such civil strife, it could in all likelihood become a battleground for the entire Persian and Arab neighborhood. The Saudis would support the Sunnis. Iran - and Lebanon's Hezbollah - would support the Shi'ites.

The United States would be trapped in the middle. It would be unable to side with any one party against the other. Supporting the Sunnis would mean supporting former Ba'athists. Supporting the Shi'ites would mean allying with Iran. And the Kurds, with whom the US gets on, are not very strong anyway and do not represent large numbers in Iraq.

MORE
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Bobbieo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-20-06 05:27 PM
Response to Original message
1. Hezbollah model in Iraq
This is a very strong possibility. It doesn't get any better over there
does it? The Tangled Web syndrome!!!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
leftchick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-20-06 05:40 PM
Response to Original message
2. excellent article, thank you!
it proves that the neocons and their asshat** are truly delusional.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
ninkasi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-20-06 05:59 PM
Response to Original message
3. I am more afraid
of the lunacy of the Bush administration than I am of a terrorist. A terrorist might kill me, as unlikely as that is, but Bush can bring the world to a world war, because of his idiotic meddling. The thought of my own death is something I can tolerate, but not the destruction of whole countries.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu Aug 21st 2014, 07:45 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (01/01/06 through 01/22/2007) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC