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CT Primary analysis Lamont victory "widespread" carried 7/8 counties...

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 02:08 PM
Original message
CT Primary analysis Lamont victory "widespread" carried 7/8 counties...
"Although Ned Lamont's 52-48 percent win in last night's Connecticut primary was closer than some recent polls had suggested, his victory was widespread. Lamont carried seven of Connecticut's eight counties, and 125 of the 169 municipalities. Lamont carried both of Connecticut's media markets, doing slightly better in the New York market, where he got 52.5% of the vote, than he did in the Hartford/New Haven market, where he got 51.6%.

Following are some of the characteristics that correlate with support for Lamont:
Rural Areas
Areas with a high housing value
Areas with a higher percentage of voters with college or graduate degrees.
Areas with a high-percentage of owner-occupied housing
Areas with a high percentage of married couples
Areas with a high percentage of children in private schools
Areas with low turnover in housing
Areas with high percentage of white collar occupations
Areas where many votrers have long commute times
Areas with high concentration of veterans

Characteristics that correlated with support for Lieberman:
Urban areas
high numbers of single women
areas with high numbers of unmarried partners, including same-sex partners
Areas with high percentage of renter occupied housing
areas with high property tax burden
areas with high percentage of voters in blue collar occupations
areas with a high percentage of voters in service sector occupations
areas with a high concentration of people receiving Social Security
Areas with high concentrations of individuals currently serving in the armed forces.

Interestingly, it seems that Lieberman won the old, traditional democratic constituencies: urbanites, single women, unmarried couples, gays, blue collar/service industry while Lamont did well among more affluent, suburbanites, home dwellers and well educated voters.

report can be accessed on daily kos:

www.dailykos.com

p.s.
Kos said that half the interviews are completed by Rasmussen on how the general election would look and he says that the rest should be completed tonight, but so far it shows a very tight race between Lamont and Lieberman going into the general election.
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RufusEarl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 02:17 PM
Response to Original message
1. That is surprising!
One would think Ned would have done well with some of the groups that voted for Joey, It appears that allot of voters voted against their best interest again.

I just don't get it, Ned will do so much more for all the groups that voted against him then Joey would have ever done.
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ayeshahaqqiqa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 02:18 PM
Response to Original message
2. Interesting,
in that Lieberman was for school vouchers, which didn't seem to impress the Lamont supporters who send their kids to private schools (could it be because many of those private schools are out of state?). What really surprised me was that single women supported Lieberman. With his callus attitude towards rape victims, this surprised me.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 02:20 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. my guess is that many of those women don't know of his stand
and Lamont is going to have to get that message out hard during the campaign.
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JerseygirlCT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
4. This one surprises me, given his stand against marriage
equality:

areas with high numbers of unmarried partners, including same-sex partners


Except that we're talking about the areas, not the people, right? In which case, likely to be urban areas, (high turn-over, renters, high property tax, etc.).
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Libby2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 02:23 PM
Response to Original message
5. That is very interesting.
Thanks for posting.
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Jacobin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 02:24 PM
Response to Original message
6. David Brooks said the only people voting for Lamonte were:
"secular, rich, highly educated"

The new pejorative by the RW against those who aren't neo-cons...in other words, people who aren't dumbasses
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 02:27 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. What this tells me is that Lamont potentially will do well with Indies
and suburbanites which are two key constituencies.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. another counter to that is exit polls, Lamont won the Protestant vote
got 44% of the Catholic vote and even 39% of the Jewish vote, so it's hardly only a "secular" constituency.
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bloom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 03:50 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. I noticed Brook's column title
DAVID BROOKS

Party No. 3
A McCain-Lieberman Party is emerging because of deep trends that are polarizing our politics.



I don't see how A McCain-Lieberman Party would be different from the Republicans?
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Jacobin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 04:09 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. Brooks is such a smarmy tool
He'll do anything to promote his neocon agenda.

As if McCain-Lieberman would be a 'moderate' ticket. :eyes:

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mhatrw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 04:21 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. Because they'd be Compassionate Neoconservatives.
Get it now?
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bloom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-10-06 06:11 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. That must be it.
Compassionate toward Israel and maybe wouldn't torture so much. :shrug:
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