What Senate Seats do you think the Dems can win from the GOP in '06?

[WI_DEM]

and what Democratic seats are the most vulnerable?

I have a few ideas of my own but I'm interested in your opinions.

[skipos]

1. PA, MT, MO, OH, RI, TN, VA

are the possibilities, in order of best chance to slim chance.

I think PA and MT are locked up, MO, OH and RI are close, TN and VA are longer shots.

[WI_DEM]

4. Good choices

I also think that PA is a lock, but I would place Ohio ahead of MO.

Do you think Jack Carter has a shot in Nevada?

I also think that we got to watch our open seats in NJ and MD where we could have tight races.

[skipos]

10. I have no clue about NV, have you seen any polls or anything?

NJ will be close, but I am not worried about MD yet. Check out the ras poll from the April 27th
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/April%202006/Maryland%20Senate%20April.htm

Hopefully we will be helped by the fact that those are both blue states that loathe Bush.

[rucky]

11. Don't forget CT

Lieberman counts.

[SteppingRazor]

2. New Jersey's definitely the most vulnerable Dem seat....

which is not to say it's extremely vulnerable, but it's certainly moreso than any other.

I think pickups in Montana, Pennsylvania are very likely.

Pickups in Missouri and Ohio are quite possible

And there's an outside shot at pickups in Tennessee and Rhode Island.

If it all works out perfectly, we'll take control of the Senate. But I think it's more likely that we pick up 2 to 4 seats.

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

3. most vulnerable GOP-Burns; most vulnerable dem-Byrd

Abramoff is the reason for burns. he could very well be indicted before november.
byrd is considered safe by conbventional wisdom, but his opponent owns half the media in wv and the amount of anti-byrd ads by phony grassroots groups in the state have skyrocketed since the primary. and the news is framing all debate in raese's favor. don't be shocked when this one gets close.

[WI_DEM]

7. Certainly Burn's is vulnerable but not as vulnerable as Santorum in PA

who is 23-points behind his Democratic opponent. As for Byrd he is solidly ahead and despite everything he fits his state like a shoe. But you can never tell.

[MrModerate]

8. Byrd is also too damn old, and they'll hammer him on that n/t

[WI_DEM]

9. that's true but he still brings home the bacon to WVA and age didn't stop

old Strom from being elected at age 100 in South Carolina.

[Zynx]

5. Best chances for us: PA, RI, MT, MO Best Rep: NJ

We can also be hopeful about OH and possibly AZ and VA under the right circumstances.

[saltpoint]

6. New Jersey could be a real cliffhanger, but I think Menendez will

hold on.

Out in Montana, I like Tester over Burns by at least 98%. Ok, that's a bit of an exaggeration, but not much. Tester by a comfortable percentage.

Minnesota is on thin ice, I think.

Ohio will be a dogfight, but Brown is SO much more qualified than Mike DeWine. I hope Ohio independents throw in with the Democrats and send the better man to the Senate. And that better man's first name isn't "Mike."

Kohl needs to be careful in Wisconsin. Gov. Doyle is tied or slightly behind his Republican challenger, and the trend suggest a very tight race. Cause for worry.

Casey whips Santorum like a rented mule in Pennsylvania.

Tennessee is a tough prospect. I just don't know if Ford can do it. I hope the Republicans screw up in their strategy. 'Would rather have Ford than a Republican, but the numbers seem to favor the GOP.

Possible upset: Arizona. This may be wishful thinking. I can't stand Jon Kyl.

August Special: Lamont over Lieberman in the Connecticut primary.