Three new polls have Bush in low 30's but Rasmussen has him at 40%

[WI_DEM]

Even Fox has Bush at 33%--Gallup 32% and ARG 34% and Rasmussen still insists that Bush is between 40-43 percent which is where he usually is rated on their daily tracking poll. Talk about being an outliar.

[AX10]

1. Rasmussen (the REPUBLICAN Pollster) has Arnold "winning"...

:eyes:

They say he gets 50%. :wtf: Every other poll has Arnold's reelection numbers at 40%.

Ras is a right winger.

[BuyingThyme]

2. Sweet graph at PollKatz.

http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/

First link down the left: "Approval"

[Craig3410]

7. Hey, check out the Disapproval...

and look who is ALWAYS,

ALWAYS

giving the lowest disapproval rating:

[Arkansas Granny]

11. I like the "flush Bush" graphic, 2nd on right on same page.

[BuyingThyme]

13. Yes, they didn't teach that one when I was in college.

[peacetalksforall]

3. Rasmussen was way off vs others in Clinton polls and last elections.

Republican worth - less.

If you tilt questions or sampling you get a result that serves the purpose of right wing corporate propaganda.

That is the only reason to be concerned about - the impression left in the heads of all the people who don't know who they are and how lacking in credibility.

[warrens]

4. It's probably a methodology problem

Polling so often, Ras probably calls at certain times. Calling in the afternoon is probably going to get a lot of stay at home moms, for instance. I've always thought of them as a good source for state by state trends, not so good on national issues. Being this far away from the pack is not a good thing.

[Warpy]

5. :You can always count on Razzy to produce numbers they can

quote on right wing ranter radio. Their samples are tiny and their pool restricted.

[electropop]

6. Complete fantasy.

Their hero is going down the toilet and they can't face reality.

[The_Casual_Observer]

8. Don't forget that 40% is still very shitty.

It's easy to lose sight of just how bad these low numbers are.

[Lexingtonian]

9. Rasmussen

polls to extract the maximum of soft Bush support there is. The 'hard' number in their polling is the disapproval number- the number they cite for that is reliable.

That number happens to be accurate. Everyone else is polling definite Bush disapproval at 60-62% too.

Other pollsters generally poll for 'hard' Bush support. ARG and Quinnipiac tend to do that, and the very minimal/soft Bush support Rasmussen finds and calls Bush support they lump with the people truly without an opinion as a relatively large number of Undecideds.

Most pollsters try to get a little of the very soft support into their numbers, and that's IMHO where you get most of the variation between the results of different pollsters these days.

In my view, the aggregate of recent polls says we have 60-62% definite disapproval, 32-34% definite approval for Bush, and ~6% very soft Bush support and Undecideds that are slipping against him.

There's also a pretty constant background trend of about 1% drop in definite approval for Bush a month in the numbers over the past year plus. That's what's killing the boys in the White House.

[Arkansas Granny]

10. Since Rasmussen calculates their numbers over a 3 day period,

I check every day just to see the trend. They always show his approval rating 5 - 10 point higher than any other major poll.

[Ksec]

12. I have a feeling America loves a comeback

Dont forget that bash will eventually succumb to a sympathy vote. America always tears something down and then allows it to make a comeback. bush should be no different. I doubt it will be a strong revival but more along the lines of America kicks a dog and then stops kicking so hard because they start feeling sorry for the mongrel/