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The Big Lie - Italian Study of Thimerosal vs Autism

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WillYourVoteBCounted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 09:11 PM
Original message
The Big Lie - Italian Study of Thimerosal vs Autism
Edited on Sat Jan-31-09 09:11 PM by WillYourVoteBCounted
Sham.

The "Italian" study of thimerosal and autism turned out to be a sham. Statements to the public omitted the important fact that both groups studied were exposed to thimerosal in vaccines, that only 1% received the HIB at birth, the cumulitive intake of thimerosal was low, and the study only included healthy children.

January 28, 2009
Il Mercurio and the AAP By David Kirby

...In his blog introducing the study, Dr. First wrote that, "You'll be reassured that the results show essentially no differences between groups who did or did not get thimerosal in their vaccines-and you'll want to know this information when talking with parents of your patients about the safety and benefits of vaccines."
http://pediatricsblog.blogspot.com/

But that made no sense. The study clearly stated that all children received thimerosal in the first year of life - some got 62.5 micrograms and the rest got 137.5 mcg. But there were no children who "did not get thimerosal," as Dr. First urged America's pediatricians to tell parents


So David Kirby sent a letter to the following email to the press office of the Academy:

Dear Susan,

As you can see by the study, there were only two groups - lower thimerosal exposure and higher exposure. The lower exposure group had no Hg in their DTaP, but did have it in their HepB and DT. The higher exposure group had Hg in DTaP, HebB and DT. Therefore, the statement by Dr First in Pediatrics is wrong, and somewhat misleading for Pediatricians to now relay to their patients across the country. I would like to ask for official comment from the AAP on a few questions,
please:

1) Why did Dr. First urge pediatricians to tell parents that this study examined children "who did or did not get thimerosal in their vaccines?"

2) Will a statement of correction be sent out to members?

3) Does the AAP feel that this study had an under-ascertainment of ASD cases (1 in 1,700 vs. 1 in 150 in the US) or does the Academy believe that the rate in Italy is actually 1 in 1,700?

4) If there was an under-ascertainment of ASD, could it be due to the fact that study only looked at healthy children, and excluded premies and others? Also, if this study somehow excluded children with ASD (the US rate is 11 times that found in this Italian study) - isn't it possible that some children who developed other NDDs might have been equally excluded?

....

As Kirby received some polite non answers in reply, he asked more questions:

Also, I was wondering if you or anyone at AAP could provide comment to the following limitations in the study:

1) The cumulative intake of thimerosal was relatively low.

2) The analysis included only healthy children. Some families might have declined to participate because their children had cognitive developmental problems. This might have reduced the prevalence of adverse neuropsychological conditions.

3) Only 1% of children in this study received hepatitis B virus vaccine at birth.

4) Participation by low birth weight children was limited.


...more at the link

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Orrex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 09:19 PM
Response to Original message
1. If true as reported, that's shitty, and they should be condemed for it. However, it must be noted
that to date, no studies have clearly shown a causal link between Thimerosal and autism, either.
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 10:01 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. i find the idea of mercury causing the increase in autism
well...to put it nicely "misguided". if mercury was the problem why did`t my generation have the same or larger amount of autistic children? i received all my shots that contained mercury at a higher concentration than todays doses. plus for the first ten years of my life my home was heated with coal.....


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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 10:16 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. that's one of the questions they don't want answered.
by their way of thinking -- half of previous generations should have two autistic heads.

but i have serious doubts about this being called a sham.

EVERY study is a sham in these peoples eyes -- no study has ever been done that the antivaxers will
comment as true.

not ever.

because science and truth aren't at the heart of their complaint.
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WillYourVoteBCounted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-01-09 05:15 PM
Response to Reply #2
14. too bad the Italian study was done in such a way that it doesn't prove anything
it would be great to have objective studies done that follow scientific protocol.

The Italian study was not scientific, for the reasons outlined in the OP.

Then a Doctor misled the press into believing that there was a valid control
group in the study, and that was completely false.

He claimed one group was exposed to thimerosal and one was not.

FALSE.

Since Autism is on the rise, and since it is so devastating, it is important to have
honest and scientific studies to determine the cause if possible.
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varkam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-01-09 06:59 PM
Response to Reply #14
17. Lol! How was the study "not scientific"?
This oughtta be good...
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DCKit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 10:10 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Fortunately (for everyone) the Obama administration believes in science.
We're going to learn a lot in the next eight years.
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WillYourVoteBCounted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-01-09 05:17 PM
Response to Reply #1
15. I would welcome any objective studies that would prove or disprove the connection
but for 8 years we haven't seen that.

Further, since the govt itself is being sued by parents of vaccine injured
children, we haven't had real investigation for the past 8 years.
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varkam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-01-09 06:59 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. If you haven't seen those studies, it has only been beacuse you've had your fingers jammed...
into your eyes.
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Orrex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-01-09 11:56 PM
Response to Reply #15
18. If you're referring to the Hannah Poling case...
Edited on Mon Feb-02-09 12:17 AM by Orrex
Surely you're aware that there was no finding that indicates that autism was caused by her vaccinations, right?

And even if there had been such a finding, you're aware that it would have been a statutory finding, and not a scientific conclusion?
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 10:24 PM
Response to Original message
5. you're puttin out 'facts' from a falsifier of the facts.
http://open.salon.com/content.php?cid=21538

Editor’s Pick
SEPTEMBER 25, 2008 1:44PM
David Kirby Smacks Me Down
Tip! Rate: 15 Flag               


David Kirby wrote a rebuttal to my book review  in Salon  of Dr. Paul Offit’s new book, Autism’s False Prophets.
 
Here’s a link to his post:
 
“Dr. Parikh, I am Becoming Embarrassed for You.”
  
Far be it for me to change Mr. Kirby’s mind.  On the other hand, I didn’t write the review to persuade him or those like him who religiously believe in this autism-vaccine link.  I write about autism and vaccines to make sure that parents understand that their child’s doctors care deeply about them and that vaccines are safe and effective.  Like anything else in medicine, they have risks.  But autism isn’t one of them, and the benefits of vaccines clearly outweigh the risks for both a single child and our society as a whole. 
 
But since he makes some claims, I’d like to clarify a few points:
 
* He’s never invited me to “debate” him.  The only invitation I’ve ever received to debate anybody about this came earlier this morning via my email, where the manager of autism one radio asked me to debate Andrew Wakefield.  I declined that invitation because, as one person said, I don’t want to be the one bullet believer amongst a bunch of grassy knoll conspiracy theorists.  But neither Mr. Kirby, nor anybody representing him, has ever contacted me.  But I did email him through his website today to ask him if he’s been emailing the wrong person and to let him know about this rebuttal. 
 
* He’s right that Autism Speaks does sponsor some anti-vaccine research, but as opposed to Mr. Kirby and the organization that pays him (Age of autism) or Jenny McCarthy’s group (Generation Rescue), they don’t exist solely to try to prove a vaccine-autism link.
 
* Mr. Kirby’s response is also a pretty clear case study of the usual methods anti-vaccine folks use to defend their point of view
 
·        Attack the messenger:  “Some Pediatricians are thoughtful. Others are just plain, (well, let's be polite) "belatedly informed." 
 
A more typical example of this is when anti-vaccine folks say that doctors who speak to the safety of vaccines are all paid speakers for vaccine makers or are somehow doing it on their behalf.  Mr. Kirby didn’t do that here, but that’s because I added my disclosure to the end of my article: 
 “Dr. Parikh does not have, nor has he ever had, any relationship, financial or otherwise, with vaccine makers or other other pharmaceutical companies.”  

·        Demand we stop speaking up: “Dr. Parikh – Please get your rhetorical ducks in a row, or refrain from participating in this discussion altogether.”

 Letters and emails that I’ve received from past articles I’ve written about autism and vaccines have demanded that I (or my editors) retract what I’ve written.  Mr. Kirby is a lot more restrained here than others, but his point seems to be the same:   View different than theirs should not be allowed. 
 

·        Cite studies that have very little relevance:  “Three projects will focus on the potential role of vaccines, specifically the role of ethylmercury or other vaccine components. These include a project by Dr. Flavio Keller at the University Bio-Medica in Rome, who will study the behavioral and pathological effects of ethyl and methyl mercury on a strain of mice that possess a certain mutation in order to examine gene and environment interactions. Dr. Mark Noble from the University of Rochester will use a genetically modified cell line to study the effects of ethylmercury and aluminum hydroxide on oxidative potential. Finally, Dr. David Baskin from Methodist Hospital in Houston will study cell proliferation in response to thimerosal exposure.”
 

Lately, anti-vaccine folks have been funding and citing a series of animal studies demonstrating thimerasol is toxic.  But none really furthers the case that thimerasol causes autism (I’ll get to aluminum below).  For one thing, the relative concentration of thimerasol animals are exposed to in these experiments is very different than in kids.  Here’s why:  In pediatrics, we dose drugs and therapies by weight, so kids who are heavier get more.  This ensures medicine is effective and safe.  If you give, as has happened in many of thee animal experiments, the same amount of thimerasol to a rat or monkey as to a child, you’re giving much greater relative amount because these animals weigh much less than a child.  Just about anything given in high enough amounts can be toxic.    An example of this is the Ames cancer test, in which you can place any suspect chemical onto a testing medium that reacts if that suspect chemical is carcinogenic.  The thing is, the Ames test reacts to just about everything you put on it if you add enough of it.  Think of these animal thimerasol experiments like placing infinite amounts of mercury onto the Ames test—it will cause a reaction and then every anti-vaccine advocate will declare that they’re right. 

On the other hand, the latest MMR study looking at people (the link is in my review) that came out showing (once again) that there is no link between it and autism was very relevant for many reasons—first, it essentially reproduced what Wakefield did and contradicted his findings.  Second, the study was designed with the input and participation of groups who are against vaccines.  A unique and interesting collaboration. Mr. Kirby hasn’t commented on this study anywhere—he knows about it, since sources tell me he was part of a conference call with the media when the study was released. 

              A couple of other methods Kirby did not use here, but others he supports do use:

·        Move the target:  First it was MMR, then it was thimerasol.  Now that studies have shown they’re both safe, anti-vaccine folks are moving on the aluminum, “antifreeze” (there’s no antifreeze in vaccines), to anything else that helps make the safe and effective.  I’ve even seen studies that blame Tylenol for causing autism coming from this camp.  In short, the whenever scientific research debunks the latest culprit in vaccines, they move the target. 

*
State you're not anti-vaccine:  Mr. Kirby and others (most notably Jenny McCarthy) love to say they are not "anti-vaccine" they want our vaccines to be safe.  On the other hand, isn't that what every study has shown us?  So it's a hard one to buy (perhaps we can call them "pro-infectious disease" instead?)

·        Good P.R:  One page ads in newspapers to scare parents, celebrity endorsements, political hearings—all of these are tools that anti-vaccine folks have used to make their case. Psychologists call this the “principle of social proof” or "social authority."  Advertisers use it a lot to sell products.  Have someone with stature stand next to you and endorse you or what you’re trying to sell.  It’s a quick way to get credibility and publicity for your agenda.  Anti-vaccine folks have been very effective at doing this.  Offit makes this point when he reveals that Generation Rescue (the ones who placed those one page ads) hired the same P.R. agency that those who sued the maker of silicone breast implants used a couple of decades ago.  Lately, that P.R. campaign has taken on the slogan "Green Our Vaccines."  But what, exactly and specificially, does that mean?  Removing everything from vaccines that anti-vaccine folks think are poisonous would, well, be eliminating vaccines.  After all, it's some these components that keeps them safe and effective.  Before thimerasol, for example, some children would die from infection because they were given a vaccine from a contaminated vial. 
 

Again, the question we need to ask of Mr. Kirby’s response (or any other argument coming from anti-vaccine advocates or groups) is the following:  Does anything he said show that vaccines cause autism? Isn't that the question he seems to keep posing? 

I don’t believe so.  So instead of attacking the messenger, citing irrelevant science, moving the target, demanding that alternative views to theirs be squelched, or relying on slick slogans and celebrity endorsements, I would ask Mr. Kirby to clarify why he still believes vaccines cause autism, especially after we see his rationale explained in Dr. Offit’s book.  
  ______________________________________________-

Addendum 9/24/08:  Mr. Kirby has not responded to my email yet.  On the other hand, he's busy briefing a NY congresswoman and 130 other members or staff of other other politicians on the autism issue.  The hearing is run by a congresswoman who is, by her record, is anti-vaccine.  In other words, it will be like Dan Burton's hearing as described in Offit's book.  To make a more modern day comparison, as critical an interview as Sean Hannity interviewing Sarah Palin.  To my knowledge, there are no opposing views being aired. 
  
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 11:15 PM
Response to Original message
6. kirby = figures don't lie -- but LIARS like kirby do. nt
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varkam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 11:31 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Kirby's not a liar. He's a first-rate journalist who cares about parents. Or something.
:rofl:
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 11:49 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. you are SO bad ...
:spray:
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varkam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-01-09 01:07 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. Hey, do you think Merck will give me a raise for that one?
Oh, I'm sorry, that's not the meme de jour. What I meant to say was: Do you think Mitch McConnell will give me a raise for that one?
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-01-09 09:59 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. i think you new best friend -- mitch --
will have something very expensive for you.
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varkam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-31-09 11:27 PM
Response to Original message
7. So...they flubbed a press release? Scary stuff.
Edited on Sat Jan-31-09 11:30 PM by varkam
:rofl:

If thimerosal was indeed implicated in autism, you would expect to see a dose-response relationship with higher doses getting more severe results along the ASD. In this study, the only case was reported in the lower-exposure group. Moreover, the rates of autism in this study were significantly lower than the general rates in America (1:5,000), and since everyone was exposed to thimerosal you would expect it to be a hot-bed of autism (well, if thimerosal caused autism that is).
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Celebration Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-01-09 11:51 AM
Response to Reply #7
12. It's more than flubbing a press release
At best, it is spinning. At worst, it is flat out lying.

I'd like to see tests on subgroups that people suspect could be at risk......in particular, preemies. Pretty terrible to leave that possible high risk group out of the study altogether, don't you think? Why do that?

Do we have any information about the effect of thimerosal on that group specifically? If not, why not?
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varkam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-01-09 01:12 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Nice dodge on the substance of my post. eom
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Jim__ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Feb-02-09 08:44 AM
Response to Original message
19. Thanks for posting that - it's valuable information -n/t
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