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Does anyone have exit poll data for 2004 CONGRESSIONAL races?

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Dancing_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-08-05 07:36 PM
Original message
Does anyone have exit poll data for 2004 CONGRESSIONAL races?
OK, I'm convinced the Presidential race was rigged, and Kerry probably really won it. What about all the House and Senate races?
Evidence of fraud was noted in 2002 Congressional races, especially in Georgia and Minnesota. This site covers some of the technical evidence for that:
http://www.serendipity.li/jsmill/voting_machines.htm

Does anybody have polling data on 2004 Congressional races where the mysterious "Red Shift" came into play?

It wouldn't make sense for Rove or Republican voting machine firms to rig only the Presidential race, because the Bush Administration is guilty of many impeachable crimes, and with a Democratic congress, they would quickly go the way of Nixon!

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Amaryllis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-08-05 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
1. Wondering that too. You know they didn't stop with the pres race.
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emlev Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-08-05 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
2. Good Q. And what about the anti-gay amendments?
Were voters asked about those on exit polls?
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Dancing_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-08-05 08:04 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Oddly enough, that did come up on TV
Some pundits were saying that more people would really cast their private ballots against gay marriage than would admit it to pollsters, and maybe the same thing would effect Presidential polls.

But as a matter of empiracle fact, in countries where democracy and freedom of expression have been institutionalized for a long time, exit polls are highly accurate. In a new fledgling "democracy" like Iraq, that kind of psychology can undermine the accuracy of even exit polls...some people there are reluctant to share there opinions and decisions with a stranger doing a poll.

But hearing something like that about U.S. election issues in 2004, struck me right away as bogus propaganda. There is plenty of evidence against these pundits presumptions!
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Dancing_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-08-05 07:47 PM
Response to Original message
3. Does anyone even have stories of Congressional election irregularities?
Any little thing to get started on this, then we can look at the kind of machines used where there were Congressional upsets and so on.

We need to figure this out in time to reform state voting systems by 2006!
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Dancing_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-08-05 08:38 PM
Response to Original message
5. I've been looking through SCOOP
An investigative paper well known to DU'rs. Scoop did notice signs of electronic fraud in 2002 Congressional races, but so far going through their 2004 stories, they seem to all concentrate just on Kerry vs. Bush. I don't have time to read everything Scoop has published on the fraud issue though. Maybe you coud help:
http://scoop.co.nz/mason/features/?s=usacoup

:pals:
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spooked Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-08-05 09:10 PM
Response to Original message
6. Here are the "leaked" Mitofsky Exit Polls. The 1st set is of the House
General numbers, but may be worthwhile if you compare them to the national trend.

If I am reading it correcty, 7,736 voters took part in the exit poll, and 51% voted Democratic, while 47% voted Republican. Not sure if I'm reading that right, the text is small on my screen.

http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/pdfs/Mitofsky4zonedata/
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Dancing_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-08-05 09:17 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Thank you very much!
:yourock:
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Dancing_Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-08-05 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Looks a job for some statistical spread-sheet program
And a college student who might be able to get some academic credit for crunching the numbers as a stats class or poli sci class project...I'll see who and and what I can find.
:headbang:
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