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WonderGrunion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 07:09 AM
Original message
Please vote today!
Maine has a historic opportunity today to turn the tide against anti-GLBT bigots. Vote NO on 1 and keep Maine's Equal Marriage law intact.
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rtassi Donating Member (486 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 10:43 AM
Response to Original message
1. My wife and I just returned from voting in Rockport ... "No" of course ...
Edited on Tue Nov-03-09 10:44 AM by rtassi
Just received a call indicating as of the last poll "NO" was 4% down ... I hope that changes in today's exits.. but based on the demo I saw in the town office ... I saw no young people at all there ... Just a bunch of hard of hearing Hard Boiled Old Mainer's
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FreeState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 02:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. That would be the PPP Poll with the 4% down
the poll assumed 10% more conservatives turn out than historically has been the case - Nate Silver/fivethirtyeight.com said if you adjust it for historical turnout it was 46 - 53 for equality :)

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/11/2009-elections-p...

Analysis: All the polls show a very low number of undecideds, so like most close elections, it's a question of turnout. And the pollsters have different opinions about what turnout is liable to be. PPP has people under 45 representing about 38 percent of the electorate, whereas Research 2000 has them at 51 percent of the electorate. PPP's figures are a closer match for Maine's 2006 electorate, when 36 percent of voters were 45 or under.

On the other hand, PPP shows conservatives outnumbering liberals 36-23, whereas those numbers have been about evenly split in exit polling of Maine's elections in 2004, 2006 and 2008. Were the liberal-conservative split to match 2006, for example, when Maine's electorate was 26 percent liberal, 26 percent conservative, and 48 percent moderate, then Question 1 would fail 46-53, according to PPP's internals.
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rtassi Donating Member (486 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 03:23 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I hope you are right!
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cecilfirefox Donating Member (404 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 03:36 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Nervous as hell and praying for victory. nt
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FreeState Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-03-09 04:49 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. I do too. I cant even sit still right now! n/t
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