Mason Dixon Poll: Castor 45, Deutch 31, Penelas 9

[TSIAS]

According to this poll, Penelas is dead in the water.

Deutch's last big stand appears to be the ads going after Castor on the Al-Arian issue.

According to his campaign, Deutch is hoping that the endorsement of Jesse Jackson will help him with minority turnout. He'll do well in South Florida. Alcee Hastings, who endorsed Deutch, faces a primary challenge that same day.

The lack of any Penelas traction will help Deutch, especially in South Florida, where he needs as big a victory as possible.

http://www.mason-dixon.com/news_text.cfm?news_id=209

TALLAHASSEE -- With less than a week to go before Tuesday's primary, Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Betty Castor continues to hold a double-digit lead over main rival Peter Deutsch, according to a poll for the Orlando Sentinel and WESH-NewsChannel 2.

The survey, conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research and released Wednesday, shows that Castor leads with 45 percent of likely Democratic voters. Deutsch had 31 percent, and Miami-Dade Mayor Alex Penelas had 9 percent, with 14 percent undecided. Hollywood businessman Bernard Klein had 1 percent.

The poll, conducted Monday and Tuesday, had a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.

Castor's 14-point lead is only slightly less than her 16-point advantage a month ago, but there are far fewer undecided voters left in play.

(more)

[PROGRESSIVE1]

1. What about Martinez? Will he take the Latino vote for the Rethugs?

[whistle]

2. Has anyone seen or heard from Jeb Bush?

...He is not going to be in New York attending the RNC, at least not publicly and I don't think he surfaced in Florida for several days. What's up with him? Any DU spies out there who know the whereabouts and what the pResident's brother is up to?

[BOHICA06]

3. I don't think Peter won any friends ...

or influenced any undecided with his bulldog performance tonight.

So - it's Castor v. Martinez or McCullen

[Bombtrack]

4. vs Martinez, count on it. And we're probably going to lose a seat.

it's not nice to see that the lies and smear-stunts and work against a good man like Penelas on the primary electorate.