New North Carolina Poll....

[slinkerwink]

Edwards 40 (43)
Dean 26 (25)
Clark 7 (6)
Kerry 6 (9)
Gephardt 5 (7)
Lieberman 3 (5)
Kucinich 1 (1)
Sharpton 1 (1)
Braun 0 (0)
Undecided 11 (3)

Jan 5-8. n=500 Dem voters. MOE 4.

http://www.newsobserver.com/collections/ed...ll_0110200...


Think Clark's going to do so well in the south? Think again...

[Kathleen04]

1. Great news for Edwards supporters!

[slinkerwink]

2. definitely great news for edwards!

[Lisa0825]

3. Edwards, Dean, and Clark are ALL hangin' in there!

GO DEAN!!!
GO DEMS!!!

[w13rd0]

4. I'd be surprised if Edwards did poorly...

..he's the hometown boy, and I'll certainly admit that he's a likable fellow with fairly strong Democratic positions. I am rather surprised at Clark's showing in this though.

[slinkerwink]

5. I'm also surprised too....with SC right next door...

[FubarFly]

6. If Edwards emerges out of Iowa and NH

with any type of momentum, he will be a challenger to Dean in the South, and may derail Clark completely. Clark needs to be the Southern candidate if he has any hopes of winning the nomination.

[slinkerwink]

9. I agree with that, but Dean's big money machine will overwhelm

Edwards, and that's my gut instinct.

[FubarFly]

10. Edwards is a bit of a dark horse still,

but there is no question that Dean is the favorite.

The winner of the invisible primary rarely loses the nomination.

[AP]

40. If Edwards shows he has chance, the money spigots will open even more for

him.

[Sean Reynolds]

7. Dean at 26%? That is AWESOME!

[w13rd0]

8. He has no traction in the South...

...his support is evaporating (and raining all over the other campaigns)...

ON EDIT: </sarcasm>

[slinkerwink]

13. *giggles*

[HFishbine]

11. North Carolinian Here

Mark my words. Dean wins in NC.

[Sean Reynolds]

12. If he does well in Iowa and NH...yup he will

[HFishbine]

17. Oh yeah, well there's that.

NC primary isn't until May, so the rest of you have to do your part.

[Sean Reynolds]

18. Oh well it'll be wrapped up by then I'm sure.

At least I hope.

[Clark Can WIN]

14. Edwards is a fine man, one I would be proud to get behind

as a nominee. I was inspired by his speech tonight at the Linn county D. He was great.

Oh, and Dale Todd.............. if you are on.....hey baby, crashed any cool events lately????????????? LOL.

[Mattforclark]

15. "Think Clark's going to do so well in the south? Think again..."

North Caroline cannot be taken as representative of "the south" given that it is John Edwards' home state.

What you mean is "Think Clark's going to do so well in the North Caroline while Edwards is still in the race? Think again..."

I am rather sure that if you took a poll of Arkansas right now Clark would be doing similarly well (though possibly not quite as well because he doesn't have as much pre-existing in-state name recognition of a Senator previously elected by a state).

[slinkerwink]

16. yes, but SC is right next door

so your logic doesn't wash.

[HFishbine]

19. Slink

Edwards is from NC. And I have to agree. Edwards and Clark are going to compete for a lot of the same votes down here.

[Clark Can WIN]

21. Not for long

One of them will rise to the top and support the other.

[slinkerwink]

23. uh, ok.

[Mattforclark]

25. Imagine there was a primary in LA

Now, if there was a poll conducted in Arkansas and Clark had 40% of the vote, and Edwards had 5% of the vote, would you say that Edwards having 5% had nothing to do with Clark being from Arkansas? Would you think that Edwards wasn't going to play well in the south?

After all, LA is 'just next door.'

If so, your understanding of reality is vastly different from mine.

[tedoll78]

24. I think Clark would do quite well in Arkansas.

Especially considering that it's his home state.

It would be in Clark's best interests to have Edwards knocked-out of the race as soon as possible; they are, to some extent, targeting similar blocs of voters. If Edwards shocks people in Iowa, hmm..

[dweller]

20. sorry, but as a native NC'er

Edwards is a big disappointment. Down on my list, and has let us down by not keeping his senate seat viable.
Clark could do well.
Dean can commiserate with Edwards.

and your poll? that's an online poll right?
broken link.

dp

[HFishbine]

22. It's not an online poll

It's the News & Observer. Try this link:

http://www.newsobserver.com/collections/edwards/edwards...

[BootinUp]

35. Another badly designed poll like that WP poll

They pump up John Edwards before asking the real question on the dem primary.

[slinkerwink]

29. it's not an online poll

[bhunt70]

26. I'm taking that poll with a grain of salt.

146 polled from Charlotte
149 from Raleigh Durham
102 from Greensboro/Winstom Salem
the rest from the NE/SE/W

80% white
20% black

whatever...sorry, that is not a good sample of NC.

I guess we'll have to wait and see.

[HFishbine]

27. The African American population in NC

is 21.6%. I guess they didn't interview any hispanics or other minorities.

[bhunt70]

28. or the indian population

[slinkerwink]

30. good point!

[Skwmom]

31. Think Dean is going to do well in the South in the general

election? I'm sure McGovern etc did great during the primary election to and we all know where that left us in the general election.

[slinkerwink]

32. that McGovern comparison is tired and debunked already

but then you don't care, right?

[imhotep]

33. good for Edwards

I hope he stays in till the end to stop Clark from hijacking our party.

[slinkerwink]

34. same here too!

[WI_DEM]

36. Edwards is leading in his homestate and Dean a strong second

Edwards has slipped a bit but still has a 14-point lead. Dean is solidly in second and would get a boost if he actually did that well vs. Edwards in his homestate, plus a good share of delegates.

[slinkerwink]

37. I'd say so!

[citizen snips]

38. Go Edwards!

He is doing a good job in his home state.

[slinkerwink]

39. I'd have to say so!

[WillyBrandt]

41. North Carolina is on MAY 4

Talk about a worthless poll. This will be far more meaningful after Edwards drops out post-South Carolina, and his once-supporters figure out who they are then for.

[anti-bush]

42. Why would he

drop out after he wins South Carolina? Doesn't seem to make sense to me.