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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 05:00 PM
Original message
Rasmussen Electoral College Polls:
Electoral College

2004 Projected

Bush 213
Kerry 211
Toss up 114
Total 538
RasmussenReports.com

Electoral College Projections
Based Upon Most Recent Rasmussen Reports Survey Data and Election 2000 Results


September 24, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projection shows George W. Bush with 213 Electoral Votes and John Kerry with 211. There are nine states with 114 Electoral Votes in the Toss-Up category.

Generally speaking, any state where the candidate leads by less than five points is considered a Toss-Up.

Today, we are moving Oregon back to the "Leans Kerry" column. Our latest survey shows the Democrat up by eight points in that state.


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Electoral%20College%20Projection.htm

This is the best projection for Kerry in Rasmussen since the Republican Convention. By September 6, Kerry had fallen to 175 EV in the projection, but Bush has been at 213 since that date. Kerry has been steadily increasing his electoral vote count, while Bush still remains at 213. Bush has been stagnant in the Rasmussen Electoral colege polls, and has been bobbing up and down in Rasmussens National Poll, but the trend has been for Kerry to be moving closer and closer to Bush's lead and the race being a statistical dead head with Rasmussen over the last ten days.

In fact, all of the independent pollsters who are not doing the polls for the media or another agency have all had the race being statisticaly a dead heat, with Bush a point ahead of Kerry in most, and tied in a few. Bu independent pollster except Rasmussen (Zogby ARG) have Kerry with a strong lead in the electoral college.

Yesterday, a poll done by Bloomberg REports also has Kerry ahead in the electoral college.
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wryter2000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 05:09 PM
Response to Original message
1. Whooo-hooo
:bounce:
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LTRS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-24-04 05:10 PM
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2. We CAN and WILL win this race!
And now is the time for everyone on this forum to get out and work, work, work like you never have before!

It's going to hinge on turnout, folks. Imagine if every one of us who supports Kerry in a battleground state got involved in Get Out the Vote activities during the last 30 days? We'd win by a landslide. Kerry is up by 5% in WA where I live, and nothing is going to keep me from GOTV activities.

I don't just want a win - I want a LANDSLIDE! And I believe, to the core of my being, that WE can make it happen.
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