It is blatantly outrageous that the Gallup is about to be trumpeted as a death knell for Kerry by the media----put a stop in it now! Contact the media and tell them what you think.
Also, be ready to call the lines on any news show, and on C-Span Washington Journal. Call them and tell them why Gallup is flawed.
Also, here are possible talking points to use on the Gallup poll:
1) Gallup is stunningly incompetent:
-- One week before the 2000 elections Gallup showed Bush leading by 13 points.
-- They also had Dewey beating Truman.
-- It's a wonder anyone takes them seriously as a pollster.
2) There is clearly something wrong with their methodolgy:
-- 14 of the last 16 Gallup polls have been the most pro-Bush of any taken at the same time. The odds of that happening randomly are about 1 in 14,000
-- They have consistently oversampled Republicans in their polls -- despite the fact that self-identified Democrats have been at least equal to self-identified Republicans in the every national election of the last 20 years, Gallup chooses to poll more self-identified Republicans than Democrasts.
-- In fact, in the 2000 election, 39% of the electorate described themselves as Democrats and 35% as Republicans. If you weight Gallup polls to those numbers, Kerry would be leading in most of their surveys.
3) Gallup's likely voter model is has been discredited:
-- The formula by which they determine who is a likely voter is bizzare and complex and always inaccurate.
-- Their last poll showed Bush voters 10% more likely to vote than Kerry voters despite the fact that the eletion-day difference between the parties hasn't been more than 4% since at least 1992.
-- Their likely voter model almost certainly leaves out those who didn't vote in 2000 so they aren't even sampling a representative electorate.
4) Gallup is run by a right-wing Republican.
-- Gallup is no longer run by the legendary Frank Gallup. They now are run by a right-wing CEO who has given money this year to support the right wing agenda. This bias is reflected in the polling.
5) Every other poll has shown movement toward Kerry.
-- Bush is fading because of the wrong choices he made in Iraq and the wrong direction he has taken the economy. No flawed poll can change that.
-- The American people will decide on election day whether they want to continue the current direction. They will hold Bush accountable and they will further discredit Gallup.
E-mail Subject: REPORT ALL POLL RESULTS IN CONTEXT!!!!!!!!!
[email protected],
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected],
[email protected] [email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected][email protected] 
Printer-friendly format
Email this thread to a friend
Bookmark this thread
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
