Schwarzenegger More Likely To End Up In The Cabinet Than The Senate
Posted on March 22, 2009 by Phil Singer
The SF Chronicle speculated today about Arnold Schwarzenegger challenging Barbara Boxer in 2010. This idea will be catnip for the cables but the viability of such a run is slim. He’s more likely to end up in the Obama administration than in the Senate. Consider this:
1) Schwarzenegger is equally disliked by both Republicans and Democrats. The Chronicle reports that Schwarzenegger’s ”dream of becoming the first ‘post-partisan’ governor has finally come true - he’s equally disliked by Republicans and Democrats. ‘He’s reached his goal. Both sides view him the same way,’ said Mark DiCamillo of the Field Poll. ‘Negatively.’”
2) Schwarzenegger isn’t the only option for GOP voters, many of whom are upset that his recent budget included a $12 billion tax increase. With “real conservatives” to choose from like Irvine Assemblyman Chuck DeVore and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, the tax hike would put Schwarzenegger on defense and force him to run to the right in a primary.
3) The President’s appearance with the Governor last week wouldn’t have taken place if political red alarms were going off about Boxer’s re-elect prospects. (She has a double-digit lead over Schwarzenegger in a possible head-to-head.) Schwarzenegger’s next step is more likely some kind of White House appointment - Obama gets a pragmatist in his inner circle and scores bipartisan points for having a Republican in the cabinet. And if the landscape goes south on Boxer, Schwarzenegger would be locked in a Democratic cabinet which would further complicate his ability to secure the GOP senate nomination.
http://themarathonblog.com/2009/03/22/arnold-schwarzenegger-senate-boxer-2010-cabinet-by-phil-singer/