Hotline...Electoral College Vote

[in_cog_ni_to]

Chuck Todd from Hotline was on C-SPAN's Washington Journal and reports

The chimp......306????????????????????????????????????????????

Kerry..........212????????????????????????????????????????????

:scared:

Please, someone tell me this is BOGUS.

[PCIntern]

1. this is BOGUS.

Feel better?

Seriously, it's all Bullshit at this point - it's like looking at the basball standings in June and extrapolating. Can't be done with any degree of precision. At least not for the top of the standings. I'm from Philly and I should know.

[in_cog_ni_to]

2. Good thing we don't have to worry about the baseball standings

here in Illinois. WE have the Cubbie's! :7

Just KIDDING Cub fans! ;)

[Sugarbleus]

3. Thanks for that info. I saw C-span

pop out those stats a bit ago too. I don't trust polls but I do watch the electoral votes ... Still, it's such a clusterf***. I want us to go to a popular vote system PDQ.

[farmbo]

4. Totally so.It's based on the Strategic Visions Poll.Newt's on their board.

Hotline's been pimping that EV map since Tuesday. (At least on Tuesday, they even said on the air that it was based on SV "...a Republican Polling firm."

[Eurobabe]

5. good, that sounded bogus to me too

but gave me heartburn at 7am in morning nonetheless.

[in_cog_ni_to]

7. That explains a lot.

Newt's on their board

I can't take this stuff so early in the morning. Sheesh.

[Leilani]

6. They are doing a daily electoral count

on Wash Journal.

Hope the numbers are bogus.

[featherman]

8. Probably about right at this moment in time

If the analyst is counting all or most of these states (PA, OH, FL, MO, CO , WI, WV, NV = 108 EV) in with Bush's projected totals. Without doing that he would be closer to 198.
The current state polls lag the nationals and likely still reflect the Bush bounce. It will be the trend from this point on that counts. Kerry will need to close the popular vote gap over the next couple of weeks and the EC will tighten up again. Keep tuned