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PresidentObama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:13 PM
Original message
Huckabee, Palin top GOP poll for 2012!
Obviously, it's very early.

I mean Obama hasn't even taken the oath of office, but....

WASHINGTON (CNN) Barack Obama is still more than six weeks from White House, and the next Iowa caucuses are more than three years away so naturally, its time to start talking 2012, as a new national poll suggests that Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee top the list of potential 2012 Republican presidential hopefuls.

In a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey out Friday that serves as an early measure of potential support for the next GOP presidential nomination, Huckabee tops the list. Thirty-four percent of Republicans and independent voters who lean towards the GOP say they are very likely to support the former Arkansas governor if he were to become their partys nominee in 2012. Huckabee surprised many by winning this year's Republican caucuses in Iowa and seven other contests before ending his run in March.

Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, John McCain's running mate in this year's election, draws nearly as much support: 32 percent of those polled said they would get behind a Palin nomination. And with the survey's sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 points, Palin and Huckabee are statistically tied.

The survey is an early measure of possible support, not a horse race snapshot.

<snip>

Among voters who consider themselves born again or evangelical, Huckabee draws more support than Palin, with a 9 point edge. Meanwhile, Palin holds a 7-point advantage among non-born again or evangelical voters.


Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is in third place in the poll, with 28 percent of those questioned saying they are very likely to suport him as the GOP nominee in 2012.

Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich draws roughly the same level of support as Romney, at 27 percent. In 2007, Gingrich flirted with making a run for the Republican presidential nomination, but decided against jumping into the race.

Twenty-three percent of those polled say they would be very likely to support Rudy Giuliani if he decides to run again. The former New York City mayor was the national frontrunner in many polls in late 2007, before performing poorly in the early primaries and caucuses. He dropped out of the race for the White House in late January.

Louisana Gov. Bobby Jindal, who's considered a rising star in the GOP, draws support from 19 percent of those surveyed, and Florida Gov. Charlie Crist 7 percent.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/12/05/huckabe...


Mark my words, Sarah Palin will be the GOP nominee.

I think Bobby Jindal will realize that 2012 won't be his time, and he's still young, so he won't run.

Mitt Romney will get overshadowed by Huckabee and Palin, and Palin will become the nominee.

Bookmark this thread ;)


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Captain Hilts Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:18 PM
Response to Original message
1. Obviously, the Republicans haven't learned a damned thing from the election. Good.
They nominate their WORST candidate in years, now this...
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PresidentObama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:19 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Are you surprised? I'm not. Palin will do horribly, but I'm convinced she'll be the nominee.
They love her. I'm not sure, but they do.
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phantom power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:19 PM
Response to Original message
2. I think it's going to be a very different world 3 years from now.
Hard to predict what the political landscape will look like.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:23 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. I'm going to kill some suspense for you. Presidents who take office when the economy is bad
tend to win re-election. Clinton, Reagan, and FDR are perfect examples.
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Avalux Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:19 PM
Response to Original message
3. Yep. Instead of learning their lesson, GOP will take a hard right turn.
It's going to take them a very long time to realize it IS their message, and not the candidate.
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blue_onyx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
5. I think they will go with Huckabee
Edited on Fri Dec-05-08 05:23 PM by BreatheOnMe
I can't see enough of the Republican Party actually voting for Palin. She'll seem like a good option to many Republicans but after years of being out of power, they will want a chance at winning. Buy hopefully I'm wrong and they do nominate Palin.
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:28 PM
Response to Original message
7. Good for them -- and good for us!
Either should be easy for a Dem to defeat.
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Auggie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:31 PM
Response to Original message
8. Can't we get a break from presidential elections? Enough already!
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bklyncowgirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:32 PM
Response to Original message
9. I'd be more worried about the Huckster as the GOP nominee
Palin has a way of turning off all but the 30% who think that Bush is doing a terrific job as president.

Mike Huckabee can actually sound reasonable on economic issues and he's a rather likeable sort of guy if you put aside his politics. My apolitical husband who can't stand Palin and voted for Obama likes Huckabee.

Palin has a better chance of becoming the nominee than Huckabee at this time because Huck's managed to royally piss off the anti-tax/big money crowd. They may see Palin as a useful and none to bright tool in the manner of George W. Bush. Of course if she and Huckabee split the fundie base than that could help out Romney.

Unless they can be made to love Mormans, the religious right will not come out for Romney in the general election so he wouldn't be too bad as nominee either.
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TheCowsCameHome Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:44 PM
Response to Original message
10. Who would Jesus vote for?
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lapfog_1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 05:49 PM
Response to Original message
11. More like sacrificial lamb
I think the repukes are already conceding 2012 to Obama.

After the Dems win a few more Senate seats in the next 4 years, the repukes will offer her up for sacrifice while they try to figure out how to regroup for 2016.
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GoneOffShore Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 06:03 PM
Response to Original message
12. I can't wait for them to do this
There is no way to rehabilitate Palin. She's the loosest cannon the neoCons have with Jindal a close second.

I'm going to change my sig line, I think - Republics, the gift that keeps on giving.
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 06:18 PM
Response to Original message
13. The social conservatives (nut wing) have taken over the Party
Because the economic collapse has totally deflated the rhetoric of the fiscal conservatives. The most they can hope for is an economic implosion they can blame on Obama to rally their support. The social conservatives taking over the party is a good thing though because they don't have the numbers they believe they do. And their support is largely isolated in the South.
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mitchum Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 06:18 PM
Response to Original message
14. Hillbilly Vs Snowbilly
William F Buckley must be rolling over in his fucking grave (not that I'm bothered by that)
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PBS Poll-435 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 06:35 PM
Response to Original message
15. Larry Craig tops GOP Pole for 2007!
:P
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camera obscura Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Dec-05-08 06:47 PM
Response to Original message
16. 2004: "George Allen Tops GOP Poll For 2008!"
Four years can change a lot.
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