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So the pollsters were right. fivethirtyeight, real clear politics, electoral-vote

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
davepc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-05-08 02:10 AM
Original message
So the pollsters were right. fivethirtyeight, real clear politics, electoral-vote
all were VERY good predictors of the outcome using the aggregate data of zogby, gallup, quinnipiac. SUSA, Pew, etc
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Schulzz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-05-08 02:12 AM
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1. And Mason-Dison was wrong in NC and OH and had PA too close... nt
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-05-08 02:16 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Yep, I give Mason-Dixon a low C grade, the others B's & A's
Some of the in-state pollsters were impressive too - UNH nailed Obama's win for instance (assuming it stays about the same).
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ROh70 Donating Member (340 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-05-08 02:18 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. Mason-Dixon are big losers among pollsters.
Daily Kos's daily tracker, much maligned by wingnuts, is going to come very close to the final margin. They had Obama winning 51-46.
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HughMoran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-05-08 02:12 AM
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2. Yep. I was just marvelling at the accuracy of the averages
Some of the individual pollsters weren't so keen, but the average was close in all but Georgia.
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Laelth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-05-08 02:18 AM
Response to Reply #2
5. Georgia has a lot of outstanding votes that have not yet been counted.
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mzmolly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-05-08 02:21 AM
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6. Yes they were. EV's final prediction was amazingly close.
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davepc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-05-08 02:45 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. I think RCP nailed it to the state...
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BunkerHill24 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-05-08 02:24 AM
Response to Original message
7. Sorry this is off-topic but
I was wondering if any of you think Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com has similar voice to Harold Ford, Jr. ?
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