Polls (State and National) are proving to have been REMARKABLY ACCURATE!

[Brotherjohn]

NATIONAL POPULAR VOTE: Obama up by 5%, and growing as western states' (CA, WA, OR) results come in.

PA: Obama wins by ~10-11%.
VA: Obama wins by ~4%.
OH: Obama wins by ~3%.
FL: Obama wins by ~2-3%.
NC: Neck and neck, Obama wins?
IN: Neck and neck, Obama wins?
MO: Neck and neck, McCain wins?
MT: Neck and neck, McCain wins?
GA: McCain by <10% (OK, a little less close than it was being projected to have become recently).
NM, NV, CO: All Obama by solid margins.

I think the poll averages, as expressed on Real Clear Politics and Electoral-Vote.com, were almost perfect. Depending upon how IN/NC/MT/MO break, the EV counts are also very close (especially to what EV.com had picked yesterday).

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Nov04.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/?map=10

Look at those web sites and either click the states or scroll over them, and compare the projected (poll average) result to the actual vote tallies. (http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/president/map.html)

The polls immediately pre-election, when using a good average of all of them, were VERY ACCURATE!

[Trajan]

1. So ALL the polls, even those which were widely divergent with each other ...?

Hmmmm ... Interesting proposition ....

I think you have to be a little more selective about which polls were 'VERY ACCURATE' and which were not ...

It is quite obvious that different polls with different numbers cannot all be 'very accurate' ...

[Brotherjohn]

2. "Poll AVERAGES"... "as expressed on RCP" etc. Please re-read post.

I know, we're all tired.

I don't think a single poll is worth crap.

But the averages of all polling data turned out to be pretty close to perfect (within margin of error in nearly every case I cited above; in all the "Battleground" states).