Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Drunken Irishman's Sobering Prediction of How the Race Will Go

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Clio the Leo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 04:39 PM
Original message
Drunken Irishman's Sobering Prediction of How the Race Will Go
Since I cant kick a three day old thread, I'll just copy and paste!!!!

I would advise everyone to print out our own Drunken Irishman's prediction and keep it near the remote .... then we can all laugh at him later if he's wrong! (Kidding! I think it's pretty spot on.)


Indiana and Kentucky close at 6. Kentucky will be called for McCain, Indiana will be too close to call.

At 7, McCain will be up 8-0 on Obama.

The polls that close at 7 will be:

Georgia, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia

I believe Vermont will be called for Obama. South Carolina & New Hampshire will be too early to call and Virginia and Georgia will be too close to call.

That puts McCain at 8, Obama at 4.

Polls that close at 7:30: Ohio, West Virginia. Ohio will be too close to call, West Virginia too early to call.

At around 7:45, the networks will call South Carolina for McCain and New Hampshire for Obama.

That puts McCain at 16, Obama at 7.

Virginia, Georgia and Ohio will be too close to call.

At 8, the following states' polls close: Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee

This will shift the race dramatically.

McCain will be projected in the following states:

Alabama
Oklahoma
Tennessee

Mississippi will be too early to call.

Obama will be projected in the following states:

Connecticut
Delaware
District of Columbia
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
Michigan
New Jersey

Pennsylvania will be too early to call, Florida too close to call.

That puts the race now at 99-43 for Obama at about 8:10 EST.

At 8:25, McCain will be projected the winner in West Virginia & Mississippi.

So the following states will be too close or too early to call:

Indiana, Georgia, Virginia, Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania.

At 8:25, right before Arkansas and NC polls close, Obama will be at 99 electoral votes, McCain at 54.

The 8:30 polls close. Arkansas is called for McCain, North Carolina is too close to call.

Obama stays at 99, McCain is at 60.

10 minutes after 8:30, Pennsylvania will be called for Obama and Georgia called for McCain.

Obama is now at 120, McCain at 75.

It's now too close to call in Indiana, Virginia, Ohio and Florida.

Shortly before 9 EST, however, Virginia is called for Obama.

Obama now stands at 133, McCain at 75.

Polls in a bunch of states then close at 9.

McCain is projected the winner in the following:

Kansas
Louisiana
Nebraska
Texas
Wyoming

Obama is projected the winner in the following:

New York
Minnesota
Rhode Island
Wisconsin

South Dakota & New Mexico are too early to call, Arizona and Colorado are too close to call. The story at this point is how McCain is struggling in his home state. Also, Obama's lead in the electoral college balloons to 188-132.

At around 9:30, New Mexico is called for Obama, South Dakota for McCain. That puts Obama at 193, McCain at 135.

Three and a half hours after polls closed, Indiana is projected for Barack Obama. The news now shifts to, "we now know who our next president will be" as Obama leads 204-135.

The states yet to be called:

Ohio
Florida
North Carolina
Colorado
Missouri

Right before polls close in the western half of the country, the network will project Obama as the victor in Colorado. Nearly an hour after polls closed there. Obama now leads 213-135.

Polls close in 5 states.

McCain is projected the winner in the following:

Utah

Obama is projected the winner in the following:

Iowa

Montana, Nevada and North Dakota are too close or too early to call.

Obama now leads 220-140. McCain announces he will hold a rally soon. Obama will wait until California's votes come in.

At this point, three hours after polls closed, Ohio is called for Obama. Two and a half hours after polls closed in Florida, it is called for Obama as well. With both states, he now sits at 267 electoral votes, three away from 270.

Right before the 10:00 hour, McCain is projected the winner in North Dakota and Montana. Obama is then declared the winner in Nevada, putting him over 270 electoral votes at roughly 9:50 EST. The networks flashy graphic announcing Obama as the 44th President of the United States will splash across millions of television sets nation wide. Talk now goes to the historical impact of Obama's landslide.

Polls then close in 5 states.

McCain is projected in:

Idaho

Obama is projected in:

California
Oregon
Washington
Hawaii

Arizona is also finally called for McCain.

And at 10:15 EST, Obama has 349 electoral votes, McCain 160.

Around 10:30, North Carolina is called for Obama. And around 11:00 EST, Obama is projected the winner in Missouri, not that it matters.

Alaska, an hour later, is declared for McCain.

Obama wins 375-163.



http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=7713304&mesg_id=7713304
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Happyhippychick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 04:41 PM
Response to Original message
1. I had to scroll to the end because I was getting depressed. Now I feel better.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Catch22Dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 04:44 PM
Response to Original message
2. That's entirely possible
Would be awesome for Drunken Irishman if it went down just like that. Instant legend! :D
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
GreenPoet64 Donating Member (897 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 04:45 PM
Response to Original message
3. Thank you! I saw this and went back to find it but it was buried. n/t
Edited on Tue Nov-04-08 04:45 PM by GreenPoet64
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Maven Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 04:48 PM
Response to Original message
4. So basically I shouldn't even turn on the news until 8:10.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
noiretextatique Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. sound s like a great idea eom
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
BrklynLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 04:50 PM
Response to Original message
5. It will be interesting to see just how psychic or insightful Drunken Irishman is...
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 05:27 PM
Response to Original message
6. My heart was in my throat when I read this -- yikes! It'll be a cliffhanger
'til the very end. Thanks for posting this!


Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
question everything Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 07:04 PM
Response to Original message
7. Kick (nt)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Erin Elizabeth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 07:08 PM
Response to Original message
8. It's looking like one part might be wrong:
Indiana is not looking too close to call, it's looking comfortable for Obama so far. Obama leading 56 to 43.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Erin Elizabeth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
9. He was right on Kentucky, they're calling it for McCain and it's
the first one.

Good job so far!
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
question everything Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. Also correct on Vermont (Obama) and Indiana - too close (nt)
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
AllyCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 07:13 PM
Response to Original message
10. Nice! I think it's going about like that too
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Willo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 07:14 PM
Response to Original message
11. Thanks!
I like the detail.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
AzDar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 07:16 PM
Response to Original message
14. Interesting.
:kick:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
question everything Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-04-08 08:40 PM
Response to Original message
15. Another kick
Pretty much accurate. Except that it appears that Vermont has 3, not 4 electoral votes.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu Apr 25th 2024, 09:56 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC