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Greg Mitchell:Obama Will Win 11 of 13 Key States-- Based on Newspaper Endorsements!

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cal04 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 01:21 PM
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Greg Mitchell:Obama Will Win 11 of 13 Key States-- Based on Newspaper Endorsements!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/greg-mitchell/obama-will-win-11-of-13-k_b_140513.html

Everyone's making predictions on Tuesday's election with, as usual, the key "swing" or "battleground" or "tossup" states getting the most attention. Experts, or just plain gasbags, can juggle all sorts of information, from reports on the ground to one of seemingly 500 polls. But at my magazine, Editor & Publisher, we do it a little differently on election eve: We predict the winner in key states purely on the basis on newspaper endorsements in that state.

Before you laugh too hard, consider this: In 2004, I did the same thing -- and picked 14 of the 15 tight races correctly, as well as the overall Bush win. Only missed on Florida (still waiting for that recount).

So, with perhaps undue confidence, allow me to take the plunge once again. We have been tallying endorsements at E&P, with much national attention, for the past weeks, with an Obama landslide in that measure (about 250 to 110) nationally. But what about in the specific states?

Using this strict measure, I predict Obama will take 11 out of 13 battlegrounds, losing in West Virginia and in Virginia (where I expect him to actually win).
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