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CNN: OHIO TIED! Bush 48%, Kerry 47% Registered voters

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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:25 PM
Original message
CNN: OHIO TIED! Bush 48%, Kerry 47% Registered voters
Just reported on Inside Politics
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:26 PM
Response to Original message
1. Whose poll?
Someone here said that Bushler was up by 11. Is that RV?
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. CNN-Gallup
.
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cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:27 PM
Response to Original message
3. wait til the coke blowing and AWOL charges hit them...
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displacedtexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:27 PM
Response to Original message
4. That guy (Alan Johnson) challenged CNN's poll results, too...
and Judy backed down.



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atre Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:40 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. Yes. Apparently it's no secret that CNN USAToday whore for Bush
Edited on Wed Sep-08-04 03:41 PM by atre
I wouldn't necessarily say Woodruff backed down, however. He said, "With all due respect to your polls, even considering the post-convention bounce, I think it's much much closer than that." Then she moronically replied, "Even after the post-convention bounce?" Hello, Judy! Anyone home?
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cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
5. but Paula Zahn said "coke head" was far ahead.....?
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jezebel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
6. They had Kerry up 8 points in registered voters 3 weeks ago.
In likely voters Kerry is down to 44% (from 48% 3 weeks ago)
and Bush is up to 52%. It is a shift of about 8 percent in the last 3 weeks. The swift crap and the convention seems to have shifted things in Ohio Bush's way.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #6
19. Their state polls show extreme swings
I wouldn't worry about it. The fact that Kerry is practically even among RVs tells me their LV sample is way too Republican. They've shown leads too big for Kerry, too. The race in Ohio is close enough that Kerry has a shot.
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atre Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
7. CNN is pushing the fact that Bush is up 8% in likely voters
Given the fact that the CNN/USAToday/Gallup polls have consistently given Bush 5-10% more than all other polls (since Campaign 2000), this can't be good news for Bush.

I can't wait to hear a poll from a more credible source.
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:32 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. WRITE them and tell them to cut it out
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cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. will do...
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Mr Blond Donating Member (150 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:33 PM
Response to Original message
9. We need more than that with "Registered Voters".
Registered Voters tend to favor us, Likey Voters tend to favor them.

We need to keep plugging away no matter what.
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:34 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. Registered voter poll was the most accurate Gallup poll in 2000
Almost dead on
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ItsMyParty Donating Member (835 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:43 PM
Response to Original message
13. I have a hard time believing that in this election a whole bunch of
'registered' voters will stay home. I read the fine print in one of the polls and it gave the criteria for classifying someone as "likely" and one of the points was if they voted in the last election. Does anyone know what some of the other criteria is?? Anyway, it takes some sort of an effort to "register" at some point in your life and with all that has gone down, I just can't see massive numbers of "registered" voters sitting this one out (I can see people who have never registered not taking any interest in anything but not registered voters).
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Proud2BAmurkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:47 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. bingo. Add in the newly registered voters too
Kerry landslide
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yellowcanine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:53 PM
Response to Original message
15. I am getting tired of saying it but "Likely voter" predictions are not
accurate 60 days out from an election. Wait at least until a week or so after the last debate. Lots of people change their mind about voting. Registered voters is the best predictor at this time.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 03:55 PM
Response to Original message
16. Likely voters is a stupid concept
Its basically saying Minorities and Young people are saying they want Kerry over Bush. But they aren't likely to vote.

In so many words thats who they aren't including in the so called "likely voter" crap. Boy will they be suprised on Election day
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tritsofme Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
17. Big toward * though, in RV Kerry was leading 52-42 in August.
nt
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 04:18 PM
Response to Original message
18. The two most recent electoral college prrojections
Also have Kerry head again (Electoral Vote. Con and DC's political REport both have Kerry well ahead of Bush again in elelctoral votes vbased on changes in state polls in the last few days)
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Andromeda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 05:30 PM
Response to Original message
20. Wait a minute, I heard Paula Zahn...
Edited on Wed Sep-08-04 05:31 PM by Andromeda
say Bush was up 8 points in Ohio. What's up with these polls. Geez, it's driving me mad!
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-08-04 05:35 PM
Response to Original message
21. I still think Ohio will come around
In fact, I'm predicting that Bush will have a horrible two months. People are starting to talk, and we have Carville and Begala on our side. That's why my electoral vote prediction is so lopsided.
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