RCP Average 10/22 - 10/28 49.9 43.9 Obama +6.0

[bluedawg12]

This is an average of big polls.

RCP Average 10/22 - 10/28 -- -- 49.9 43.9 Obama +6.0
Rasmussen Reports 10/26 - 10/28 3000 LV 2.0 50 47 Obama +3
Gallup (Traditional)* 10/26 - 10/28 2435 LV 2.0 49 46 Obama +3
Gallup (Expanded)* 10/26 - 10/28 2409 LV 2.0 51 44 Obama +7
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/26 - 10/28 1179 LV 2.9 49 44 Obama +5
Diageo/Hotline 10/26 - 10/28 870 LV 3.6 49 42 Obama +7
ABC News/Wash Post 10/25 - 10/28 1316 LV 2.5 52 44 Obama +8
IBD/TIPP 10/24 - 10/28 894 LV 3.0 47 44 Obama +3
GWU/Battleground 10/22 - 10/28 1000 LV 3.1 49 46 Obama +3
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/23 - 10/27 831 LV 3.4 50 45 Obama +5
Pew Research 10/23 - 10/26 1198 LV 3.5 53 38 Obama +15

For State by State too:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

[Bicoastal]

1. If McCain can erase a point a day from Barack Obama's lead...

...he'd still lose. Or tie, I'm not sure--but screw it, it ain't happenin'.

[bluedawg12]

2. Not to slack off now, but this has been a solid lead at RCP

and I like the variety of polls they include in their sample.

Good point about the Hail Mary save for mclame--not do-able at 1 point/day. But it hasn't really been moving at RCP Obama has been above the margins of error.

[regnaD kciN]

3. I don't want to be a wet blanket...

...but, if you take off the Pew O+15 poll (which certainly looks like an outlier, being almost double the margin of every other poll out there), that average drops from +6.0 to +4.4 -- a pretty significant narrowing, if you ask me. Making up for it by tossing out the poll most favorable for McCain only raises the margin to +4.5, so that doesn't make much of a difference.

[bluedawg12]

5. Not a wet blanket- that's why it's important not to slack off

like Sen. Obama himself, who is working at an unreal pace-- it ain't over till Tuesday.

It is expected to tighten before the election - as it seems to be, so these last few days are critical while the repugs throw the slop on the wall to see what sticks.

Obama's infomerical remains to be seen in these polls, I sense they will make a difference, as it was outstanding, moving and pitch perfect.

My sense is maybe 2 points up after tonights speech. thoughts?

[MadBadger]

4. You can Bump Obama back up to 50.0 with the new Zogby poll

[bluedawg12]

6. Tonight's speech- what you guys think? Another +2 pts? n/t