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KansasVoter
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Tue Oct-28-08 08:22 PM Original message |
| Obama wins with 286 EVs when counting states with a 7 point or more lead in the polls! (Up 9) |
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Obama wins with 286 EVs when only counting states with a 7 point or more lead in the polls!
If Obama wins the states where he only has a 7 or more point in the Poll Averages, he has 286 Electoral Votes. I used 7 to counter the margin of error and the (unproven and outdated) Bradley effect. Basically this is the worst case scenario for Obama! The drops today were MO (From +1 to Even), PA (From +11 to +9) The gains today were FL (From +1 to +3), NH (From +7 to +11), CO (From +6 to +7), NV (From +3 to +4)  |
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