SurveyUSA Missouri Poll: Obama 48, McCain 48

[Hope And Change]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d5910d9a-6a74-4072-8746-9d5234c36359

[Alter Ego]

1. Damn. Weren't we up in the last SurveyUSA poll out of MO?

[Hope And Change]

Yep.

[WI_DEM]

3. So? it's still good. Who thought Obama would have a chance to win MO

[Smuckies]

7. I don't like to hear that.

Why would Obama drop? x(

[WI_DEM]

2. That's good. If Obama wins MO that's the cherry on the cake.

[SuperTrouper]

4. Thre is no way McCain is ahead 48%-47% in the 18-24 years old.

[Alter Ego]

8. That's in the crosstabs?

Then fuck that.

Obama's winning that by at LEAST 10 points. I wonder how the poll looks with an adjustment to give us that demographic with something like 55-45.

[INdemo]

5. This among 800 likely voters

And sponsored by local TV networks
Missouri Whipsaws: In an election for President of the United States in Missouri today, 10/27/08, eight days until votes are counted, Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama tie, 48% each, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KMOX-Radio in St Louis and KCTV-TV in Kansas City. A week ago, Obama led. No more. McCain made week-on-week inroads among men, among whites, and among voters younger than Barack Obama. Today, McCain leads by 18 among gun owners. Obama leads by 25 among those who do not own a gun. Nine research firms are polling in Missouri. Five show McCain ahead, though by 3 or fewer points. Two show Obama ahead, by 5 and 2 points. Two, including now SurveyUSA, show Missouri tied. For this poll, 800 Missouri adults were interviewed 10/25/08 and 10/26/08. Of them, 759 were registered to vote. Of them, 672 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before election day. Democrat Jay Nixon continues to be a prohibitive favorite to win the Missouri Governor's election, a pick-up for the Democrats. Incumbent Republican Matt Blunt is not seeking re-election.

[Alhena]

6. We won't need MO as long as Obama wins VA or CO

[MoJoWorkin]

9. Internals are somewhat suspect. 18-34 age vote going more for McCain?

35-64 age group more for Obama?

Also, I don't buy some of the other demographic results.

I do think MO will be a nail biter, but this poll may have some flaws.