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Will Newsweek and Time use correct sample in next poll?

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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 10:49 PM
Original message
Will Newsweek and Time use correct sample in next poll?
If they do or if they actually poll more Democrats than Republicans next time then it will look like Bush's bounce is gone and perhaps Kerry will be ahead. Well, actually in reality the bounce never was that big but this would certainly stop Bush's momentum in the water. Does anyone have any records of what percentage of Democrats and Republicans were polled in previous Time/Newsweek polls? It seems like they like to play with the numbers to create a perception of momentum. The question is do they do it both ways?
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 10:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. It's ratings! Who gets the most coverage, and best rtings!
Look at the coverage they got!!! Why would you think they would change in the future?
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rwheeler31 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
2. No
Ugly as it is it will get worse.
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Ediacara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
3. I am not sure if this is what you're refering to, but aparently the sample
Was majorly off, and when corrected, yeilded a Bush lead of only 3%.

At least according to Rasmussen....
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tcfrogs Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 10:58 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. From what I saw here yesterday, it wasn't that far off
Yes, they did sample more R's than D's. Not a "huge" difference, but a difference. Something like 370-325??? Without any explanation, unless you look in the actual issue. Don't subscribe to either.
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Ediacara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 11:01 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. I can't find said info on Rasmussen's page
But that's the straight dope from electoral-vote.com.

Seeing as almost everyone else gives Bush a nonexistant-to-very slight bounce, I tend to believe that Rasmussen is on to something.

Especially since... well.... how many times have you heard a pollster badmouthing someone else's poll? Something must be really fucked up for them to do that.
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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 10:59 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. I am wondering if they will turn the sample around next time
polling more Democrats then Republicans to even things out. If they do then it will look like Kerry has momentum.
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Ediacara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-06-04 11:03 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. I don't think they'll "fix" the numbers in that way
Just fix them so they're "correct" (if they do so at all).
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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-07-04 03:20 AM
Response to Original message
8. good question nt
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