GALLUP TRACKING: Obama 50, McCrypt 42 (-1)

[jefferson_dem]

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx

[Arugula Latte]

1. It's tightening!

McCain's sphincter, that is. :evilgrin:

[Hope And Change]

2. LOL.

[gaiilonfong]

5. Link

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx

[OKNancy]

6. LMAO!!!

good one

[TeamJordan23]

7. That was the meme on AC360 last night.

debunked.

[Arugula Latte]

8. They discussed McCain's sphincter?

Damn, too bad I missed that show.

[ChimpersMcSmirkers]

19. LOL

[thewiseguy]

3. McCain has got the momentum!!!

In the wrong direction that is.

:evilgrin:

[Arrowhead2k1]

4. They have no idea how many new voters will be pouring in for Obama on election day.

This will be a landslide folks! :)

[RamboLiberal]

9. Down though in Likely Voters Expanded FWIW

LV(Expanded) Obama 50(-1) McCain 46(+1)
LV Obama 49(-) McCain 47(-)

http://www.gallup.com/Home.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. Weird

Obama goes up one in registered, down one in likely, and even in expanded...

I just average them for a lead of 5%...

[dennis4868]

11. Which of the 3 Gallup numbers is....

the one to focus on and why?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. We Don't Know

Depends on turnout...

The higher the turnout the more likely it is the headline number (registere voters) is correct...


I average them for a five point lead ...

[dennis4868]

14. how does Gallup define a....

LV?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

15. They Ask Them A Bunch Of Questions

1) Did you vote in the previous election

2) Do you plan to vote this election?

3) Do you know where your polling place is?

Etctera...

[jefferson_dem]

16. Some details on Gallup's LV models...

Here - http://www.pollster.com/blogs/gallups_new_likely_voter_model.php

[Franks Wild Years]

18. Not necessarily this year.

It's something of an anomaly (as far as the majority of recent elections go) in that Democrats are massively more enthused by their candidate than the kooky Repubs.

I think the odds are still slightly against it, but I wouldn't be surprised to see turnout slightly down on four years ago, simply by virtue of Republicans not bothering, particularly if Obama continues to lead by a five point-ish margin up until election day and also because they simply don't think McCain is worth as much effort as Messiah George.

[BumRushDaShow]

13. Let's hope this means a bit fewer concern posts.

Nah... wishful thinking. :rofl:

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. I Got Crucified By (Some) For Saying We Can Do Without The Concern Posts

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