Why didn't Bush get a bump from his convention

[Feanorcurufinwe]

Poll question: Why didn't Bush get a bump from his convention

in the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll?

[Goldmund]

1. What mean you?

"Before today, neither candidate had held a four-point lead for three consecutive days since Kerry wrapped up the nomination on Super Tuesday. "

[Feanorcurufinwe]

3. I don't

understand your question.

[Goldmund]

5. Well, they were tied as recently as 9/1.

Now Bush has been ahead 4 points for 3 consecutive days. Seems to suggest a bounce, if only a little one.

[Feanorcurufinwe]

7. They didn't call that a bounce for Kerry, why should we

call it a bounce for Bush?


A one point gain since before the convention, and the moe is 3? no bounce

[OMGBearisDriving]

2. 1

Bush up by double digits is a blatant lie by the conservative media, a half assed poll probably conducted entirely of NeoKKKKKKONnaziservatives in order to make good news for Smirky McChimpNaziWarhardon.

either that or its space aliens. i dont know

[Selwynn]

4. He did get a bump, so I don't understand your question.

[Feanorcurufinwe]

6. Well, I don't understand your answer.

A bump? Maybe I read the poll wrong... please explain.

Pre convention:
8/28 Bush 48 Kerry 45

During convention:
8/29 Bush 47 Kerry 46
8/30 Bush 48 Kerry 45
8/31 Bush 47 Kerry 46
9/1 Bush 47 Kerry 47

Post convention:
9/2 Bush 49 Kerry 45
9/3 Bush 49.1 Kerry 44.7

MOE: 3


Bush's gain since before the convention is statistically insignificant.

[Selwynn]

8. Maybe you should look at more than one

Time, Newsweek and now USA today all have Bush with around an 11 point lead over Kerry. That's called a "bump."

Try looking around about about oh, the last twenty or so threads on pretty much all boards talking about the reality of Bush's improving/Kerry's declining poll numbers...

[Feanorcurufinwe]

9. So basically, you just didn't want to answer the question,

which was:

Why didn't Bush get a bump from his convention in the Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll?

[Selwynn]

10. apparently no one else did either.

[Feanorcurufinwe]

11. How so?