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I will remind everyone of the following fact:
All of the polls have an oversampling of Dems implying anywhere from 6-11% edge for Dems in voter ID. In order to believe we are losing, you must accept this premise. I do not accept the premise because I don’t believe Obama is gaining votes that were bush votes in 2004. Additionally, I don’t believe Obama will get 100% of the Kerry vote from 2004.
The Obama campaign expected to get 40,000-50,000 early voters to the polls last week in OH. They only ended up getting 5,000 approximately. The narrative of TREMENDOUS energy for Obama is a myth. Empircal data shows you its a myth. The obama nuts may make the most noise, but they aren’t the most people.
The downtrodden attitude in this and other forums is a sure sign that, as much as we rebel against DBM, we are falling victim to it. Don’t buy the BS. Go with what your common sense tells you.
Looking for Good news in these polls is kind of like being on trial and asking the prosecutor to help you out with your defense. It isn’t there and it isn’t going to be there because of the assumptions above.
2006 was the result of a ton of close races won by Dems running as conservatives. In addition, the evangelical vote stayed home due to Foley, Macaca, and Abramhoff. Presidential elections draw way higher turnout, and no lib since Jimmah Caatah has pulled over 50%.
But if you want to base your think on a false premise that is only supported by inflated voter registrations (many of which are proving to be the result of a quota program at ACORN) and the supposed energy of the YUTE vote; then you are going to have three more weeks of misery.
Obama will not draw greater than 46% of the popular vote nationally. period.
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