We are behind after *'s Convention 'Bounce': Time to Face the Music

[JCMach1]

It's also time to face what needs to be done and what can happen.

1. Kerry Ads come back ONLINE this month.
2. It's about the turnout. If a negative race kills the turnout we are sunk.
3. External events play a roll. For example: how will Floridians respond to being flattened by two hurricanes.
4. Debates can play a huge role (especially for Kerry).
5. Hard work and don't give up... the polls will take care of themselves.

Need I remind everyone how much Bush was up according to Gallup Times and CNN the Friday before the election.

Keep your eye on the prize.

[NMDemDist2]

1. GOTV is the key, here's the real poll numbers-Time is an anomaly

[JCMach1]

4. With the latest Zogby we are down 2-11 points.

That's a huge difference... but we are down :(

[NMDemDist2]

5. there has to be a small convention bounce

to expect any different is irrational

[2Design]

2. Yes Bush will be bounced right out of office :=)

[LisaL]

3. I don't get it.

Why would negative race kill turn out?
If people are angry about G.W. Bush and what he is doing, why wouldn't they go out and vote?

[JCMach1]

6. Conentional wisdom among people who run campaigns says

that negative campaigning sinks turnout...

That's, of course if you believe that.

[POed_Ex_Repub]

8. Because undecideds and those not "Hard-core"

Tend to simply get disgusted with both parties and decide not to vote. Doesn't seem to matter if all the mud slinging is coming from one side.

[UdoKier]

7. Something else to keep in mind...

The 3% for Nader will NOT materialize. He will get 0.5% or less, he's not even going to be on a lot of states'; ballots, and Nader voters are less likely to show up, since their '68 VW vans are usually broken down! (ba-dump-ump)

Seriously, I think all these polls greatly exaggerate the Nader factor.

[JCMach1]

9. I agree with the 3% Nader part... but will they vote

:(