Nate Silver now projects our chances of winning this as 83%

[Hamlette]

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Don't stop sending money, don't stop working your hearts out.

I predict Sarah will "do better" than expected (at this point, expectations are so low, if she shows she "did better" maybe even "good")

Which means, we could get a dip again.

But still...its a thing of beauty.

[darius15]

1. Thats's around a 6:1 chance. Let's see them steal it under those odds!

[Awsi Dooger]

2. I'd love to bet into his numbers

A couple of weeks ago he had McCain pushing 60%, which was also nonsense. Now I see he's got Indiana listed at 50/50.

Classic example of being paralyzed by numbers, with no clue how to properly weigh foundational variables. For his sake, I sincerely hope he doesn't gamble.

And I have a feeling he doesn't, based on a post last week when he hysterically didn't know the difference between middling a pointspread and scalping a money line.