Democratic Registration Far Outpacing GOP In Multiple Battleground States
By Greg Sargent - September 26, 2008, 4:20PM
In a development that could have a significant impact on the presidential race, the rise in registered Democrats has far outpaced Republican registration in many key swing states, giving Dems a clear registration advantage in a lot of them, while wiping away one-time GOP registration advantages in a couple others.
We compiled these registration numbers mainly from the secretaries of state in the battlegrounds -- and they are are striking. You can view them in our chart below.
Of the dozen or so most closely contested states in this election, seven of the secretaries' offices keep tallies of their registration numbers, broken down by party. The upshot: Of those seven states, four have seen big spikes in Dem registration while GOP registration has gone up by significantly less or has dropped.
In a fifth state, the number of Dems has gone up by a modest amount while the number of Republicans has fallen sharply. Dems now lead in registration numbers in all five of those states, in some by significant margins.
Meanwhile, in the sixth and seventh states, Dem gains and GOP losses have effectively erased the GOP's once sizable registration edge.
Obama advisers think the numbers are a reflection of the intense interest this year and the historical nature of this campaign. "We think it's going to have a significant impact," Obama national field director Jon Carson tells me. "It's a continuation of what we saw in the primaries, which is a surge of people participating in the process in general. The base level of that is registration, and what you see in the numbers is that the majority of the surge is on our side."
Here's the breakdown in the seven states, as supplied by their secretaries of states and compared to 2004...
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