We Win: NM, IA, VA

[berni_mccoy]

That's the game folks. We must hold these three states plus the Kerry states and it's a done deal.

Obama can lose both OH and FL. As long as he wins NM, IA and VA, it's game over McCain.

As of today, he's +11 in NM, +11 in IA, +6 in VA. McCain. Is. Toast.

[darius15]

I'd put CO over VA.

Kerry States +
1. IA (safe for us)
2. NM (safe for us)
3. CO (toss up\leaning Obama)
4. VA (toss up)

[SoonerPride]

1. How about Pennsylvania?

Will it flip?

[berni_mccoy]

2. Unlikely. Obama has an 86% chance to win the state (via 538.com)

[ipfilter]

11. Hey SoonerPride

BOOMER!!!

[SoonerPride]

13. SOONER!

:)

[WeDidIt]

3. Gotta Link?

Sorry, I don't believe any claim these days without a link.

[berni_mccoy]

4. The polls are from today. Rasmussen and Survey USA

The hypothesis of winning with those three states is mine.

[WeDidIt]

8. Okay

All I wanted was links to teh poll numbers. Otherwise, I take nothing for granted.

[Alhena]

5. Michigan and Pennsylvania are too close to feel complacent

[berni_mccoy]

9. I agree. No complacency. But Obama does have an 86% chance of winning PA

and an 85% chance of winning MI, even though they are tight races.

Check out the state-by-state results at fivethirtyeight.com.

[melody]

10. Optimism doesn't cause complacency ... negativity does

Ask any athlete.

[Lex]

6. Let's keep working our asses off!

:bounce:

[PerfectSage]

7. At 538..com

Obama has a 77% chance of winning CO and a 59% chance of winning VA. Winning CO or VA will push Obama over 270.

:bounce:
I love the smell of victory in the morning.

[melody]

12. Actually at fivethirtyeight.com

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

I know you know that, just making the point.